Myth of the Rational Voter

Interesting video, and accurate, but a key part of voting mystery is the way a
Candidate looks, …or, the most presidential looking often gets the vote, just looks swings the vote, and this is often noticed as an influence in the fairer sex, but can be seen in the trends of both.

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atoque's picture

As a confirmed intellectual and idealist, I am not the sort of person that Prof. Caplan is speaking about when he refers to the “Myth of the Rational Voter”, far from it. I take enormous trouble to familiarise myself with the policies of candidates and make sure that I use many different sources for my information. I consider this to be a major part of my responsibilities as a voter in a democracy.
So you might imagine that I would be eager to congratulate Prof. Caplan on his thesis. And yet I find myself ambivalent, and for this reason: there is more than one potential definition of the word “rational” and Caplan only examines one of them. In this definition he can claim (and does) that errors about beliefs and feelings are “risk free”, despite all of the evidence to the contrary in almost every aspect of life.
The truly ‘rational” person uses more aspects of their humanity than just conscious cognitive reasoning in order to make decisions, and for very good reasons. Our intuition often gives us information that simple reasoning can deprive us of. As a relevant example of this, I would rather choose a President with relatively poor policies who was a decent human being than visa-versa. Such qualities are often more readily ascertained by how someone makes us “feel” than by how we think or reason. People who rely on a two-dimensional definition of “rational”, it could be argued, are probably not really able to function rationally at all, except for simple tasks, like doing math! Although even Einstein said that he relied heavily on intuition and what “felt right”.
I’ve written more about the idea of The Rational Person here, for those who would like to explore this concept further!

Peter Bloch's picture

“I would rather choose a President with relatively poor policies who was a decent human being than visa-versa.”
I agree with this. It’s easier to change policies than the character of a person. I will vote for a leader too that I feel is a decent human being.

Shine's picture

It’s interesting that since real economic growth is a product of increases in the productivity of labor. Dislocation and unemployment can be caused by productivity gains making certain jobs no longer necessary. All things being equal, economic Diablo 3 rationality would require that these people make use of their talents elsewhere. Caplan makes special emphasis of the movement away from farming over the past two hundred years

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Maybe it is good if you try to find out by asking direct and visited the campus in question. So that everything will be much clearer.

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