young Americans

Harvard poll: 52% of youngest Millennials would vote to recall Obama

Despite voting heavily for him in 2008 and 2012, Millennials — voters between the ages of 18 and 29 — have increasingly become disenfranchised with President Obama. This began early in the summer with the coverage of the NSA’s domestic surveillance and has worsened thanks to the disastrous Obamacare rollout.

But slide, it seems, is much worse than most standard surveys have shown. Ron Fournier of the National Journal broke down the results of a recent Harvard University poll which found that not only do Millennials disapprove of President Obama, but 52% would vote to recall him (emphasis added):

Obama’s approval rating among young Americans is just 41 percent, down 11 points from a year ago, and now tracking with all adults. While 55 percent said they voted for Obama in 2012, only 46 percent said they would do so again.

When asked if they could choose to recall various elected officials, 45 percent of all Millennials said they would oust their member of Congress, 52 percent replied “all members of Congress,” and 47 percent said they would recall Obama. The recall-Obama figure was even higher among the youngest Millennials, ages 18-24, at 52 percent.

While there is no provision for a public recall of U.S. presidents, the poll question revealed just how far Obama has fallen in the eyes of young Americans.

Uhhhh. President Obama, call your office because…wow.

Obama loses young people on healthcare issue

The Quinnipiac University poll brought bad news virtually across the board for President Barack Obama. But three particular parts of the poll relating to young people between the ages of 18 and 29 deserves discussion.

The poll found that voters overwhelmingly disapprove of President Obama’s handling of healthcare by a 24-point margin, at 36/60. The age demographic breakdown shows a 16-point divide in his approval rating among young people, at 40/56:

 Healthcare approval rating

It’s the lowest of the four age demographics, but still very important.

When Quinnipiac asked voters who they trust to do a better job on the healthcare issue, President Obama or Republicans in Congress, voters gave a very slight edge to the GOP. It’s the first the Republicans have had an advantage of any kind on healthcare, according to the firm.

Holding any edge over President Obama on the healthcare issue, no matter how small, is important because he has staked his legacy on the issue. But the most interesting part is, yet again, the demographics. young people gave a 5-point edge to Republicans:

 Healthcare trust

ObamaCare Mocks Youthful Idealism

Back in 2012, President Obama gave a speech in Roanoke, Virginia wherein he uttered some now famous (or infamous, depending on your perspective) words:

…look, if you’ve been successful, you didn’t get there on your own. You didn’t get there on your own. I’m always struck by people who think, well, it must be because I was just so smart. There are a lot of smart people out there. It must be because I worked harder than everybody else.  Let me tell you something—there are a whole bunch of hardworking people out there. If you were successful, somebody along the line gave you some help. There was a great teacher somewhere in your life. Somebody helped to create this unbelievable American system that we have that allowed you to thrive. Somebody invested in roads and bridges. If you’ve got a business—you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.

Covered less — although not that much less in conservative and libertarian circles — was another statement he made in the same speech: his proposition that the wealthy “pay a little bit more” in taxes to “give something back”.

Moody’s downgrades health insurers, lack of youth enrollment cited

Nearly a month after expressing concern about the financial health of insurers participating in the Obamacare exchanges, Moody’s announced this morning that it is downgrading the outlook for insurers because of the uncertainty surrounding Obamacare.

In addition to the shifting regulatory climate, the Moody’s also cited the poor mix of young and healthy people who’ve selected plans through the exchanges as reasons for its action (emphasis added):

The credit rating agency cited an unstable environment because of the healthcare law’s difficult rollout, and projected that insurers would earn two percent less than forecast in 2014.

“While we’ve had industry risks from regulatory changes on our radar for a while, the ongoing unstable and evolving environment is a key factor for our outlook change,” Moody’s Senior Vice President Stephen Zaharuk said in a statement. “The past few months have seen new regulations and announcements that impose operational changes well after product and pricing decisions were finalized.”

The Moody’s report also cites the slow enrollment of young people into ObamaCare as a reason for the downgrade.

Uncertainty over the demographics of those enrolling in individual products through the exchanges is a key factor in Moody’s outlook change,” the ratings agency said.

Young people incentivized to avoid Obamacare

Recent Obamacare enrollment numbers were bad news for the Obama Administration, no matter how desperately the they tried to spin it. While it’s true that there was a surge in selected plans in December, though still far below anticipated numbers, the percentage of 18-to-34 year-olds is far too low for the law to be sustainable.

With a little over two months left in the open enrollment period, the administration is now gearing up its efforts to sell Obamacare to this group of people on whom the success of the law depends.

But would it be advantageous for young people to sign-up for a government-approved Obamacare health insurance plan? A new study from the American Action Forum state the case that most young people would be better off avoiding Obamacare.

“Recently released data from the Department of Health and Human Services on the breakdown of enrollee age shows young adults make up only 24 percent of total enrollment through December 28, 2013—well below the administration’s target level of 39 percent,” wrote Conor Ryan and Chris Holt of the American Action Forum, a conservative think tank.

“The ACA’s perverse economic incentives are well documented. The law makes health insurance more expensive for many young adults, while at the same time making the decision to go without health coverage exponentially less risky than it previously was,” the two analysts noted. “It is impossible to predict how many young adults will ultimately enroll in coverage, but it is clear that many young adult enrollees will be worse off financially if they decide to purchase health insurance.”

Randy Forbes: An example of why Republicans have problems with Millennials

A poll released this week by Harvard University found that Millennials, particularly those who are college-aged, are disenfranchised by President Barack Obama. This crucial voting bloc disapproves of his job performance and 52% of 18- to 24-year-olds would vote to recall him, if they could. What’s more, 57% of young people disapprove of Obamacare.

Republicans immediately seized on the numbers. “Young Americans put President Obama in office, but don’t think that means they agree with how he is handling his job as President,” said Raffi Williams, Deputy Press Secretary for the Republican National Committee, in an emailed statement. “Obama has increased Millennials insurance premiums and lied to them about keeping their coverage.”

“Young Americans aren’t daft, they know a bad deal when they see one and that is why they are abandoning the President and no amount of spin can change the facts that just like MySpace, Millenials are over Obama,” he added.

Williams is absolutely right.

President Obama’s economic policies, including Obamacare, have really hit young people hard. They are having a difficult time finding jobs or are underemployed, and those who graduate from college are leaving school with an average of $29,400 in student loan debt.

Many young people not getting Obamacare subsidies despite promises

Obama and young people

President Barack Obama and administration officials have been promoting the subsidies available to many Americans looking to purchase health insurance in hopes that it will draw people to enroll, especially young and health individuals. But CNN reported last week that many of the people that the administration desperately needs to sign-up for coverage won’t have access to these subsidies, after all:

One of the basic tenets of Obamacare is that the government will help lower-income Americans — anyone making less than about $45,900 a year — pay for the health insurance everyone is now mandated to have.

But a CNN analysis shows that in the largest city in nearly every state, many low-income younger Americans won’t get any subsidy at all. Administration officials said the reason so many Americans won’t receive a subsidy is that the cost of insurance is lower than the government initially expected. Subsidies are calculated using a complicated formula based on the cost of insurance premiums, which can vary drastically from state to state, and even county to county.

That doesn’t change the fact that in Chicago, a 27-year old will receive no subsidy to help offset premiums of more than $165 a month if he makes more than $27,400 a year.

In Portland, Oregon, subsidies for individuals making just $28,725 a year phase out for those younger than 35 years old.

Bill Clinton to Barack Obama: Let Americans keep their health plans

Just days before the House of Representatives prepares to vote on the Keep Your Health Plan Act, Bill Clinton is urging President Barack Obama to get behind a change that would keep the promise he made to Americans.

Clinton insists that Obamacare is better off now than before, which is a line that the White House touted yesterday. He also defended the issues with federal exchange website, Healthcare.gov, comparing it to the launch of Medicare Part D in 2006, though this defense doesn’t stand up to scrutiny.

But Clinton touched on the insurance cancellations of that millions of Americans are experiencing, using a conversation he had with a young person who is paying more for coverage than before Obamacare as an example.

Third problem is for young people — most, but not all young — who are in the individual market hose incomes are above 400% of the poverty level. They were the ones who heard the promise — if you like what you have you can keep it,” former President Clinton, a Democrat who served from 1993 to 2001, told OZY.com.

“I met a young man this week who has a family, two children, bought in the individual marketplace. His policy was cancelled and one was substituted for it, and it doubled his premium,” he recalled. “Now, I asked him, I said, Same coverage? He said yeah. But I asked, are your co-pays and deductibles the same? He said they were much, much lower.”

Kathleen Sebelius: We anticipated no one would want to use ObamaCare exchange website

Kathleen Sebelius

During an interview with CNN’s Dr. Sanjay Gupta, Health and Human Service Secretary Kathleen Sebelius said that the Obama Administration didn’t anticipate that anyone would want to use the federal ObamaCare exchange website, Healthcare.gov

“[T]he individual mandate — the concern is if there’s this idea that if people have a hard time signing up and they didn’t get signed up, for whatever reason, on time, can they still be penalized? Can you penalize people if it was so cumbersome to sign-up in the first place?” Gupta asked Sebelius.

“Well, I think that the reality is that people…can sign-up any of three ways, and more are being able to do it everyday,” said Sebelius before being cut off with another question from her host.

Obama Administration to spend another $12 million on ObamaCare ads

With ObamaCare’s state health insurance exchanges set to open on October 1, the Obama Administration will roll out yet another ad blitz to promote the law in more than a dozen states that will cost taxpayers at least $12 million:

The Obama administration is readying a multimillion-dollar onslaught of ads in a dozen red states to encourage Americans to sign up for Obamacare insurance exchanges, media-tracking sources tell POLITICO.

The Center for Medicare Services at the Dept. of Health and Human Services has reserved at least $12 million in airtime starting Sept. 30 in Texas, Florida, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Missouri, Ohio, Indiana, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Louisiana and Michigan.
[…]
The number of states and the total cost of the ad campaign are both expected to grow with the approach of the enrollment period that begins on Oct. 1. The administration awarded a $41 million PR contract to the firm Weber Shandwick earlier this year to promote participation.

The Obama Administration has been working feverishly to promote the exchanges, which are essential to the success of ObamaCare, especially with the large number of young Americans needed to enroll in order to offset the costs of high-risk consumers who take advantage of the law.

Reports in July estimated that the ad blitz being undertaken by the Obama Administration, states, and outside groups to promote the law would cost at least $684 million.


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