Ron Paul

Ron Paul nabs an important endorsement in Iowa

With the Ames Straw Poll fast approaching, every candidate is looking to gain ground in any way possible. Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) managed to pick up the endorsement of Cory Adams, chairman of the Story County Republican Party:

Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul has fresh bragging rights after picking up what is surely a coveted endorsement on Monday.

Cory Adams - the Republican chairman of Story County in Iowa – endorsed the Texas congressman’s presidential bid at a campaign event in Ames, Iowa.

That’s significant for a few reasons. Ames is the largest city in Story County, home to over 50,000 residents. And it is in this city that a widely-watched showdown between the GOP presidential candidates will play out on August 13. The Ames Straw Poll will test the candidates’ popularity and could be a sign of their electability.
[…]
Adams explained to CNN the rationale behind his endorsement of Paul.

“I try to go for the candidates that line up mostly with the values, the principles of the [nation’s] founders,” Adams said. “Out of all the candidates in this cycle, I found Ron Paul to be the one with the longest, most consistent voting record to back up those principles and concepts.”

How might Adams’ endorsement help Paul with voters?

Adams explained: “Back in 2008 there were a lot of people within the Republican Party that kind of disregarded Congressman Paul. And basically didn’t just count him in and/or wouldn’t even mention him. So when you can have a county chair who is part of the Republican Party, part of the establishment and support him, it gives him more credibility within the party and brings him back from the fringe.”

CNN poll shows Rick Perry rising

The latest national poll for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination from CNN shows five current and possible contenders within 4 points of each other. Given the margin of error is 4.5%, the race is a statistical tie.

The survey also shows Texas Gov. Rick Perry rising past Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann and sneaking up on former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. However, 34% of Republican voters are not satified with the field of candidates. That’s down, though not by much, from 39% at the end of May.

Here is the full rundown of the CNN poll:

  • Mitt Romney: 16%
  • Rick Perry: 14%
  • Rudy Giuliani: 13%
  • Sarah Palin: 13%
  • Michele Bachmann: 12%
  • Ron Paul: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 6%
  • Newt Gingrich: 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%
  • Other/None: 9%
  • No opinion: 1%

Given the recent exposure that Bachmann has received and the increasing perception that she isn’t cut out for the national stage, Perry may well find himself the conservative movements answer to Romney; after all, he wins 22% of the tea party vote in the poll.

While some conservatives attribute the attacks on Bachmann to Democrats, that is simply untrue. Most of what is coming out about her now is from Republicans scared that she may be able to bring in enough dissatisfied voters to edge out other candidates for the nomination. Expect to see more Republicans point out her shortcomings and overall lack of experience.

Club for Growth on Ron Paul

Just like in 2008, the Club for Growth is putting together a series of white papers on candidates running for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination. We’ve already covered their reports on the records of Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, Herman Cain, Mitt Romney and Jon Huntsman. We missed the report on Michele Bachmann, but you can read that here.

Last week, the Club for Growth released the white paper on Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX),who fares well against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical matchup and is making Iowa and the Ames Straw poll priorities for his campaign.

The Club notes that Paul has received better than average ratings on their own scorecard, and they’ve gradually increased over the last five years. And while his record on spending is “impressive,” including votes against Medicare Part D, raising his own pay, TARP, the stimulus and other wasteful spending.

They also point out that Paul was once a stalwart in voting for amendments to strip wasteful earmarks out of spending bills; however, he has changed his tune recently:

Romney, Palin even in Ohio; Obama leads GOP candidates

You know how the Republican candidates are doing nationally, but what really matters are state-level voters. And Quinnipiac has new numbers out of Ohio, a crucial swing state in nearly every election, showing Mitt Romney statistically even with Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann isn’t too far behind.

  • Mitt Romney: 16%
  • Sarah Palin: 15%
  • Michele Bachmann: 11%
  • Rick Perry: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 6%
  • Ron Paul: 5%
  • Newt Gingrich: 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%
  • Undecided/NA: 28%

As you can see, the top four are well in striking distances of each other; and this assumes that Palin even gets in the race. They did poll scenarios of Palin and Perry not running, but for sake of confusion, I’m going to leave those off the post. You can see them here.

Quinnipiac also measured Romney, Palin, Bachmann and Perry against Obama, in the state. Even though though 50% of Ohio voters disapprove of Obama’s job performance, Palin would be a disaster and Bachmann isn’t too far behind her (numbers for independents are off to the side).

Barack Obama v. Mitt Romney

  • Obama: 45% (40%)
  • Romney: 41% (41%)
  • Other: 3% (4%)
  • Undecided: 9% (11%)

Barack Obama v. Sarah Palin

  • Obama: 51% (51%)
  • Palin: 35% (32%)
  • Other: 3% (4%)
  • Undecided: 6% (6%)

Barack Obama v. Michele Bachmann

  • Obama: 49% (45%)
  • Bachmann: 36% (35%)
  • Other: 3% (4%)
  • Undecided: 9% (11%)

Barack Obama v. Rick Perry

WaPo/ABC poll: Romney still holds advantage in GOP race

While Michele Bachmann has certainly picked up steam in the race for the Republican nomination, Mitt Romney is still holds a double-digit lead over her in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll.

Here’s how it shapes up:

  • Mitt Romney: 26%
  • Sarah Palin: 16%
  • Michele Bachmann: 13%
  • Ron Paul: 7%
  • Rick Perry: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 7%
  • Newt Gingrich: 4%
  • Jon Huntsman: 3%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 2%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Other: 1%
  • NOTA/Wouldn’t vote/No opinion: 9%

But like many of the polls we’ve seen over the last several weeks, they tested the Republican field with and without Sarah Palin. The first set is without her running and with Rick Perry’s likely candidacy.

  • Mitt Romney: 30%
  • Michele Bachmann: 16%
  • Ron Paul: 11%
  • Rick Perry: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 7%
  • Newt Gingrich: 6%
  • Jon Huntsman:3%
  • Rick Santorum: 3%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Other: 1%
  • NOTA/Wouldn’t vote/No opinion: 11%

This second set includes Palin, but leaves off Perry:

  • Mitt Romney: 28%
  • Sarah Palin: 19%
  • Michele Bachmann: 13%
  • Ron Paul: 10%
  • Herman Cain: 7%
  • Newt Gingrich: 5%
  • Jon Huntsman: 3%
  • Rick Santorum: 3%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 2%
  • Other: 1%
  • NOTA/Wouldn’t vote/No opinion: 11%

The poll shows strong numbers in terms support for Romney, but it also has points of concern for his campaign as noted in the Washington Post’s report on the poll:

Romney, Bachmann remain in the front of the GOP field

Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann continues to gain on, and in at least one instance surpass, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in national polling, which is largely useless given that we’re dealing with state caucuses and primaries to determine delegates for presidential candidates. However, these polls do offer us, as I’ve noted before, a sense of where Republican voters are right now.

The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows Romney still leading, but Bachmann picking up more support since their last poll:

  • Mitt Romney: 30%
  • Michele Bachmann: 16%
  • Rick Perry: 11%
  • Ron Paul: 9%
  • Newt Gingrich: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 5%
  • Rick Santorum: 3%
  • Jon Huntsman: 2%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 2%

Cain has dropped off substantially from the last NBC/WSJ poll; he was at 12% and is now at 5%. They also left Sarah Palin out of this poll, it’s like her support gets divided between Bachmann and Perry.

Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, also polled the race recently under two scenarios; with and without the presence of Sarah Palin.

Here is how the race shapes up with Palin:

  • Mitt Romney: 20%
  • Michele Bachmann: 16%
  • Sarah Palin: 12%
  • Rick Perry: 11%
  • Herman Cain: 10%
  • Ron Paul: 9%
  • Newt Gingrich: 6%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 5%
  • Jon Huntsman: 2%
  • Other/Undecided: 10%

And without Palin:

Ron Paul hits the airwaves in Iowa and New Hampshire

Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), who announced earlier this week that he wouldn’t run for another term in Congress, launched a six-figure airtime buy in Iowa and New Hampshire with an ad that is reminiscent of a movie trailer that criticizes Republicans for compromising on the debt ceiling.

Another poll in Iowa shows Bachmann leading, national viability remains a big question

While I’m not convinced Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann is former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney’s biggest threat to the Republican nomination, she continues to show that she may steal the show in Iowa. According to yet another poll out of the Hawkeye State - this one conducted by American Research Group, Bachmann leads Romney by a small margin among likely caucus-goers.

  • Michele Bachmann: 21%
  • Mitt Romney: 18%
  • Ron Paul: 14%
  • Sarah Palin: 11%
  • Newt Gingrich: 8%
  • Rick Santorum: 5%
  • Jon Huntsman: 3%
  • Herman Cain: 2%
  • Rudy Giuliani: 2%
  • Tim Pawlenty:
  • Other: 2:
  • Undecided: 10%

The poll also notes:

Bachmann leads Romney 25% to 17% among registered Republicans. Bachmann leads Romney 25% to 17% among those saying they will definitely participate in the 2012 Republican caucus. And Bachmann leads Romney 30% to 7% among those saying they are supporters of the Tea Party.

Ron Paul leads Romney 24% to 23% among no party (independent) voters, with Sarah Palin at 15% and Bachmann at 2%. Paul leads Romney 22% to 20% among probable caucus goers, with Bachmann at 14% and Palin at 12%.

Romney leads Bachmann 31% to 11% among likely caucus goers saying they are not Tea Party supporters or are undecided about the Tea Party.

A new national poll from Quinnipiac shows Bachmann picking up steam as well, though that doesn’t come a surprise. We haven’t paid much attention to national polls lately, but given how the field is shaping up, here is a look at how Republican voters are going.

Press Release: Ron Paul Issues Statement on Rumored Debt-Ceiling Scheme

This was sent out on late in the evening on Friday (July 8). While Speaker John Boehner has backed away from a deal that involves tax hikes, it’s still worth posting.

Today, 2012 Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul issued a statement strongly opposing a proposed deal on the debt-ceiling that is rumored to be in the works between the Obama administration and Republican House leaders. See statement below.

“Sources in Washington tell me that House Republican Speaker John Boehner is considering a deal to raise taxes as part of a debt limit ‘deal.’

“In fact, reports are they may be ready to cave in to Barack Obama’s demands for a trillion dollars in tax increases in exchange for mostly phony spending and tax cuts in order to raise the debt ceiling.

“House Republicans would be foolish to go for this ploy and be taken in by the Obama administration, only to leave American taxpayers on the hook again for more out-of-control government spending.

“The Democrats pulled a similar maneuver during Ronald Reagan’s presidency, a deal that promised 2 to 1 spending cuts in exchange for tax increases. Taxes went up, but the cuts never came. They did it again in 1990, promising much the same deal, and delivering only on their tax increases.

“In Washington, if you hear about a so-called deal, you can be sure the taxes will come, but the cuts never will.

“Republicans cannot take the bait and get fooled again.

“This is exactly why I was the first Presidential candidate to sign on to the Cut, Cap, and Balance Pledge — because we cannot continue to steer our country down this road to ruin with a massive federal budget and unchecked spending. We need to change course right now.

“Agreeing to this scheme by the White House would be a betrayal of the voters who put Republicans back in charge of the House in 2010.

Bachmann pulls ahead in Iowa

At the end of last month, Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney were in a statistical tie in Iowa. But a new poll from the Des Moines Register shows Bachmann with a slight lead - though still within the margin of error, a month ahead of the Ames Straw Poll.

  • Michele Bachmann: 25%
  • Mitt Romney: 21%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 9%
  • Herman Cain: 9%
  • Ron Paul: 6%
  • Newt Gingrich: 4%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%

The poll shows that 76% of Republicans in Iowa have a favorable view of Bachmann, 66% are favorable of Romney. Gingrich, however, doesn’t fare so well as 52% have an unfavorable view of him; by far the worst in the poll.

Pawlenty, who is viewed favorably by 60% of Iowa Republicans, saw a bump from the last poll. This state is where many observers feel he has to make a stand in order to even stay in the race. That’s likely why he lobbed a shots against Bachmann over the weekend, noting that she has no real record of accomplishment.

This isn’t important just because Pawlenty is knocking a rival, but also because if Bachmann can’t pull ahead of Romney, she may decide to run for re-election in what has been a fairly competitive district. Those comments could become fodder by a Democratic opponent.

 


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