Ron Paul

Romney still leads in New Hampshire, Bachmann makes gains

A new poll out of New Hampshire from Suffolk University shows former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney holding steady, though Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann has made gains in the Granite State. Texas Rep. Ron Paul finishes in the top three.

  • Mitt Romney: 36%
  • Michele Bachmann: 11%
  • Ron Paul: 8%
  • Rudy Giuliani: 5%
  • Sarah Palin: 4%
  • Jon Huntsman: 4%
  • Herman Cain: 2%
  • Newt Gingrich: 2%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 2%
  • Rick Perry: 2%
  • George Pataki: 1%
  • Rick Santorum: 1%

The poll notes:

Among those who watched the Republican Presidential debate in Manchester earlier this month, 33 percent said Romney won the debate, while 31 percent gave the win to Bachmann.

New Hampshire Republicans are unconcerned with Romney’s tendency to change positions on issues important to party’s base as 69% say that doesn’t disqualify him from getting their vote.

As the last few polls have shown, New Hampshire is Romney’s to lose.

The Amazingly Accurate Predictions of Ron Paul

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Ron Paul gives a campaign update

Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) sent out an e-mail yesterday asking for donations, offering an update on his campaign, and taking some shots at Mitt Romney - who he says laid down the foundation for ObamaCare - and the Republican establishment:

Paul was hoping for $3 million, but he is well over that mark at this point. The campaign is now hoping to raise $5 million in the next few days. His campaign also recently won the auction for the best booth at August’s Ames Straw Poll, an important day for GOP hopefuls in Iowa. The same booth was used by the last two winners of the straw poll, George W. Bush in 1999 and Mitt Romney in 2007.

Romney, Bachmann in statistical tie in Iowa

Mitt Romney’s lead in Iowa appears to have diminished with Iowa-native Michele Bachmann’s entrance into the Republican field of presidential candidates. According to a new poll from the Des Moines Register, the two are in a statistical tie.

  • Mitt Romney: 23%
  • Michele Bachmann: 22%
  • Herman Cain: 10%
  • Newt Gingrich: 7%
  • Ron Paul: 7%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 6%
  • Rick Santorum: 4%
  • Jon Huntsman: 2%

Bachmann has seen a jump in the polls, not just in Iowa, but nationally as well. The support for Romney, who has decided to skip the Ames Straw Poll in August, remains around the same level in the Des Moines Register poll as it has in other polls conducted in the state. Romney’s team has made New Hampshire their focus.

While the poll is good news for Bachmann, it’s bad news for Pawlenty, who has been spending a signficiant amount of time in Iowa; he’s even running ads in the state (the first candidate to do so). The importance of the state to his presidential ambitions already has some asking how badly he can perform in August’s straw poll and expect to be viewed as a viable candidate.

House declines to authorize intervention in Libya

On Friday, the House of Representatives declined to authorize President Barack Obama’s illegal intervention in Libya by a 123 to 295 vote:

Members of Congress sent an embarrassing message to President Obama by voting to reject a formal authorization of the use of force in Libya.

The House on Friday voted down a resolution similar to one recently passed in the Senate expressing support for the U.S. mission by a vote of 123 to 295.

The Associated Press reported that the vote is the first time since 1999 that Congress has voted against the president’s authority to conduct a military operation.

“The president has not made the case for committing our military to the conflict in Libya,” said Ohio Rep. Mike Turner, a Republican. “The president claims these military actions do not constitute hostilities. However, the American people know otherwise.”

The rejection is an embarrassment for Obama, who has been accused by opponents of the mission of violating the 1973 War Powers Resolution by not getting congressional approval before entering the conflict.

The House also voted down a measure that would have partially defunded the operations. However, some have noted that the resolution would have actually authorized the Libya intervention. Even Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), certainly no supporter of our tendencies to play policeman to the world, spoke out against the resolution:

Ron Paul throws a wrench in GOP foreign policy debate

Republicans are still debating the so-called “isolationist” sentiment among their presidential field. We know how warmongers like Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), the GOP’s presidential nominee in 2008, feel about those that oppose military intervention in Libya, and there is certainly a large contingent in the GOP that support his views.

But there are some that are fighting back against McCain’s demagoguery. In his most recent column, David Harsanyi takes McCain and other neo-cons to task over use of the misapplication of the isolationist label:

Sure, some on the far right and swaths of the protectionist, union-driven left oppose international trade agreements and endlessly freaking us out about foreign influences. But isolationists? Judging from our conduct in the real world of economy, we’re anything but insular. So perhaps McCain simply meant noninterventionists—as in folks who have an unwavering ideological aversion to any and all overseas entanglement.

That can’t be it, either. Maybe, like many Americans, some in the GOP are simply grappling with wars that never end and a war that never started. And with plenty of troubles here at home, it’s not surprising that Americans have turned their attention inward.

John Stossel Defends Ron Paul On The O’Reilly Factor

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Consistency and Ann Coulter

Ann Coulter is one of those lightning rods out there.  I’ve kind of thought for a while that half of what she says, and 99% of the way she says it, was just to grab attention in the saturated arena of political commentary.  Put another way, I  believed that she says what is ultimately her position, but simply phrased in the more caustic way to make sure people see her as different than so many others out there.

However, Coulter’s latest screed is bound to earn the ire of libertarians nationwide.  In her column, she takes aim at Representative Ron Paul, though she doesn’t mention him by name for a while.  Instead, she talks about the GOP debate and then rails against the libertarian candidate.  There are only libertarians running for President, and only one was there.  That was Ron Paul.

In her column, Coulter wrote:

They lure you in with talk of small government and then immediately start babbling about drug legalization or gay marriage.

“Get the government out of it” is a good and constitutionally correct answer to many questions, but it’s not a one-size-fits-all answer to all questions.

It was a good answer, for example, when libertarian Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, was asked about government assistance to private enterprise and government involvement in the housing market.

But it’s a chicken-s**t, I-don’t-want-to-upset-my-video-store-clerk-base answer when it comes to gay marriage.

So, a consistent argument is chickensh*t?  Really?  It’s fine when you’re talking about some things, but when it’s something Coulter finds objectionable, Paul’s scared?  In fact, he’s so scared, he takes a position that the GOP faithful disagree with him on while he’s running for that party’s nomination?  What?

Romney holds lead among Republican primary voters in California

While California’s presidential primary isn’t until Super Tuesday (February 7, 2012), new survey conducted by Field Poll shed some light where Republicans voters in the Golden State are going at this early point in the game (full results are available here):

  • Mitt Romney: 25%
  • Rudy Giuliani: 17%
  • Sarah Palin: 10%
  • Ron Paul: 7%
  • Newt Gingrich: 6%
  • Herman Cain: 6%
  • Rick Perry: 5%
  • Michele Bachmann: 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%
  • Gary Johnson: <0.5%
  • Other/Undecided: 14%

Field Poll also ran the numbers under the scenario that Giuliani sits the race out. It’s worth noting that Romney receives a slight boost, as does Palin (who hasn’t decided on a bid for the GOP nomination).

  • Mitt Romney: 30%
  • Sarah Palin: 12%
  • Ron Paul: 8%
  • Newt Gingrich: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 7%
  • Rick Perry: 6%
  • Michele Bachmann: 5%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%
  • Gary Johnson: <0.5%
  • Other/Undecided: 14%

Among the contenders, Giuliani and Romney are the only candidates viewed favorably by GOP voters, 46/37 and 38/34, respectively. The poll also shows that whoever wins the nomination will have a long road to haul to picking up the state’s 55 electoral votes as 49% support President Barack Obama’s re-election bid, while 40% do not.

DeMint lays out endorsement pledge

Even though the race for the GOP presidential nomination is underway (though the field may not be entirely set), there hasn’t been many endorsements from members of Congress or high-profile Republicans. Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC), who often represents the tea party in Washington, is wants candidates to sign before he’ll endorse:

Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) threatened to withhold his support for Republican presidential candidates unless they sign a pledge requiring fiscal reforms in exchange for raising the debt limit.
The pledge, crafted by several conservative groups, would have signatories vow to oppose raising the debt limit unless three conditions are met: 1. Substantial cuts in spending (Cut), 2. Enforceable spending caps (Cap), and 3. Congressional passage of a balanced budget amendment (Balance).

“I’m telling every presidential candidate, if your name isn’t on this list, don’t come see me,” DeMint said.

Support from the South Carolina senator will be especially coveted by White House contenders, both for the boost in a key primary state and because of his status as a conservative icon within the GOP. DeMint challenged House and Senate candidates to sign the pledge, too.

DeMint backed Romney four years ago, but he has since said that he won’t do so again unless the former Massachusetts Governor repudiates RomneyCare; which isn’t likely to happen.

There will be a few candidates willing to sign DeMint’s pledge, perhaps Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain or Ron Paul, but none of them stand much of a chance to win the nomination.


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