Republican Party

Sean Hannity endorses a big government Republican

With a recent poll showing a tight race in his bid for re-election against Rep. Jason Chaffetz in a likely primary match up, Sen. Orrin Hatch has scored an endorsement from Sean Hannity, the prominent conservative talk show host:

Utah Sen. Orrin Hatch has won a high-profile re-election endorsement that will surely help him with Tea Party voters in his state: Fox News commentator Sean Hannity on Tuesday endorsed the Republican Senator on his radio show.

“I’m not sure if Clarence Thomas would be on the bench today but for you,” Hannity said, according to audio released by the Hatch campaign.

“I don’t think guys like John Roberts and Sam Alito would be there either,” he continued. “All the times you have been fighting for these Balanced Budgets over the years … what you’ve done for the Supreme Court which is impacting this country literally now for generations and decades … is why I’ve endorsed you for your race in the Senate.”

Mark Levin also endorsed Hatch backed in June.

Rasmussen: Romney holds small edge over Perry

Rasmussen Reports reported new numbers in the race for the Republican presidential nomination this week, which like most other polls show Mitt Romney holding a small lead. However, Rick Perry, who is expected to enter the race some time this month, has pulled ahead of Michele Bachmann.

  • Mitt Romney: 22%
  • Rick Perry: 18%
  • Michele Bachmann: 16%
  • Ron Paul: 10%
  • Herman Cain: 9%
  • Newt Gingrich: 6%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Jon Huntsman: 2%
  • Other: 4%
  • Undecided: 9%

Rasmussen notes that Perry has a small advantage over Bachmann with the tea party, taking 28% over the movement’s support to her 22%. According to the poll, the tea party makes up 39% of the GOP’s electorate - a higher number than most other firms have showed in their data sets. Among non-tea party voters, Romney brings in 29%. Perry is the closest to him with 13%.

What if the race were just between Romney, Perry and Bachmann? According to Rasmussen, Romney would hold a slight lead (he’d also lead each candidate in head-to-head matchups, though it would be very close):

  • Mitt Romney: 34%
  • Michele Bachmann: 27%
  • Rick Perry: 26%
  • Other: 5%
  • Undecided: 8%

So, there you go. I’ve been saying it for awhile now, but once Perry gets in this race, I really do expect him to be Romney’s biggest roadblock toward the nomination.

Gallup: Romney leads GOP pack, but Perry and Giuliani are threats

Gallup is out with fresh numbers today in the battle for the Republican presidential nomination. And while the poll shows Mitt Romney in the lead, his lead would be slashed if Rick Perry and Rudy Giuliani enter the race. .

As I’ve said before, national polls don’t matter as far as it goes, but they make for good fodder. Romney has never been able to attractive the necessary support to win the nomination, though many Republican view it as “his turn.” Skepticism over RomneyCare, which became the blueprint for ObamaCare, is no doubt in the back of th monds of many Republican primary voters. The good news for Romney is Giuliani’s history of not committing to campaigns, so you’d have to see at least a chunk of that support going back to him should the former New York City Mayor opt not to run.

Dick Lugar trails GOP primary challenger

Sen. Dick Lugar (R-IN), a target of tea party and conservatives in 2012, is trailing Richard Mourdock, who currently serves as the state’s treasurer, in a poll commissioned by the Club for Growth, an organization that frequently targets statist Republicans in primary matchups:

The incumbent senator, who’s facing one of the toughest challenges of his career, is down by 2 points with one-third of GOP primary voters undecided.

Indiana state treasurer Richard Mourdock has the backing of 34 percent of Republican primary voters while Lugar gets 32 percent and 34 percent are undecided, the poll found.

The Club for Growth, which has made noises about backing Mourdock in the primary, did not release the full poll or give all the details for how it identified Republican primary voters, which casts some doubt on its results. The group has run ads attacking Lugar’s record and warning him against voting for an increase to the debt ceiling, and Lugar’s campaign questioned the poll’s methodology.

“The data released by the Club for Growth does not resemble anything we are seeing,” said Lugar Political Director David Willkie. “Before commenting on a purely publicity driven poll commissioned by an outside group that has spent hundreds of thousands of dollars against us, we need to know much more about the methodology.”

Ron Paul nabs an important endorsement in Iowa

With the Ames Straw Poll fast approaching, every candidate is looking to gain ground in any way possible. Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) managed to pick up the endorsement of Cory Adams, chairman of the Story County Republican Party:

Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul has fresh bragging rights after picking up what is surely a coveted endorsement on Monday.

Cory Adams - the Republican chairman of Story County in Iowa – endorsed the Texas congressman’s presidential bid at a campaign event in Ames, Iowa.

That’s significant for a few reasons. Ames is the largest city in Story County, home to over 50,000 residents. And it is in this city that a widely-watched showdown between the GOP presidential candidates will play out on August 13. The Ames Straw Poll will test the candidates’ popularity and could be a sign of their electability.
Adams explained to CNN the rationale behind his endorsement of Paul.

“I try to go for the candidates that line up mostly with the values, the principles of the [nation’s] founders,” Adams said. “Out of all the candidates in this cycle, I found Ron Paul to be the one with the longest, most consistent voting record to back up those principles and concepts.”

How might Adams’ endorsement help Paul with voters?

Adams explained: “Back in 2008 there were a lot of people within the Republican Party that kind of disregarded Congressman Paul. And basically didn’t just count him in and/or wouldn’t even mention him. So when you can have a county chair who is part of the Republican Party, part of the establishment and support him, it gives him more credibility within the party and brings him back from the fringe.”

CNN poll shows Rick Perry rising

The latest national poll for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination from CNN shows five current and possible contenders within 4 points of each other. Given the margin of error is 4.5%, the race is a statistical tie.

The survey also shows Texas Gov. Rick Perry rising past Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann and sneaking up on former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. However, 34% of Republican voters are not satified with the field of candidates. That’s down, though not by much, from 39% at the end of May.

Here is the full rundown of the CNN poll:

  • Mitt Romney: 16%
  • Rick Perry: 14%
  • Rudy Giuliani: 13%
  • Sarah Palin: 13%
  • Michele Bachmann: 12%
  • Ron Paul: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 6%
  • Newt Gingrich: 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%
  • Other/None: 9%
  • No opinion: 1%

Given the recent exposure that Bachmann has received and the increasing perception that she isn’t cut out for the national stage, Perry may well find himself the conservative movements answer to Romney; after all, he wins 22% of the tea party vote in the poll.

While some conservatives attribute the attacks on Bachmann to Democrats, that is simply untrue. Most of what is coming out about her now is from Republicans scared that she may be able to bring in enough dissatisfied voters to edge out other candidates for the nomination. Expect to see more Republicans point out her shortcomings and overall lack of experience.

WaPo/ABC poll: Romney still holds advantage in GOP race

While Michele Bachmann has certainly picked up steam in the race for the Republican nomination, Mitt Romney is still holds a double-digit lead over her in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll.

Here’s how it shapes up:

  • Mitt Romney: 26%
  • Sarah Palin: 16%
  • Michele Bachmann: 13%
  • Ron Paul: 7%
  • Rick Perry: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 7%
  • Newt Gingrich: 4%
  • Jon Huntsman: 3%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 2%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Other: 1%
  • NOTA/Wouldn’t vote/No opinion: 9%

But like many of the polls we’ve seen over the last several weeks, they tested the Republican field with and without Sarah Palin. The first set is without her running and with Rick Perry’s likely candidacy.

  • Mitt Romney: 30%
  • Michele Bachmann: 16%
  • Ron Paul: 11%
  • Rick Perry: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 7%
  • Newt Gingrich: 6%
  • Jon Huntsman:3%
  • Rick Santorum: 3%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Other: 1%
  • NOTA/Wouldn’t vote/No opinion: 11%

This second set includes Palin, but leaves off Perry:

  • Mitt Romney: 28%
  • Sarah Palin: 19%
  • Michele Bachmann: 13%
  • Ron Paul: 10%
  • Herman Cain: 7%
  • Newt Gingrich: 5%
  • Jon Huntsman: 3%
  • Rick Santorum: 3%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 2%
  • Other: 1%
  • NOTA/Wouldn’t vote/No opinion: 11%

The poll shows strong numbers in terms support for Romney, but it also has points of concern for his campaign as noted in the Washington Post’s report on the poll:

GOP caving on debt limit?

For weeks now, Republicans have stood firm on the idea that any increase in the debt limit should be accompanied by significant spending cuts.  Democrats have offered up what they felt were significant, and the Republicans have said “nope…not enough”.  Now, Mitch McConnell is offering up a compromise that will lose any good will they’ve built with their base.  He wants to let President Obama raise the debt ceiling at will.

Courtesy of RedState:

Mitch McConnell is right now talking about making a historic capitulation. So fearful of being blamed for a default, McConnell is proposing a compromise that lets Barack Obama raise the debt ceiling without making any spending cuts at all.

McConnell’s idea is to make the debt ceiling automatic unless Congress, by a 2/3 vote blocks the increase. Oh yes, he put a salve on it by dressing it up in tough talk that, to quote the Wall Street Journal, “[a] ‘eal solution’ to U.S. fiscal problems isn’t possible as long as President Barack Obama remains in office.” So since no “real solution” is possible, McConnell proposes to go Pontius Pilate and wash his hands of spending, blaming Obama while doing nothing himself.

Now, I’ve said before that they should just do away with the debt ceiling.  After all, if they can raise it whenever they want, it’s not much of a barrier to increasing debt.  However, to hand this power over exclusively to the President?

Brit Hume: Michele Bachmann too toxic to independents

While purusing Twitter yesterday, I came across video of Brit Hume on The O’Reilly Factor pointing out that Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, who is running for the GOP nomination, “would prove too toxic to independents much like Sarah Palin did. They would think she is just too much.”

Over at Gateway Pundit, Jim Hoft calls Hume’s comments a “slam” and writes, “Too conservative = Too Toxic.” Eh, it wasn’t a “slam,” it was an legitimate observation; one I made myself yesterday. Like it or not, it’s true. Bachmann is gaffe prone, and that’s not a tendency you want on the campaign trial; especially when the control of both chambers of Congress are up in the air.

There plenty of things not to like about other candidates, but if the GOP nominates Michele Bachmann, Barack Obama will be re-elected.

Herman Cain loses two staffers

In case you missed the news, two staffers from Herman Cain’s campaign - including his only staffer in New Hampshire (the situation with this staffer reminds me the recent walk outs on Newt Gingrich), which hosts the first primary in the nation - have resigned:

Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain’s New Hampshire state director, his only staffer in the state, as well as a Cain campaign regional director have both resigned.

Matt Murphy is the former state director and Jim Zeiler is the former regional director. Both defections raise the question of whether or not the Cain campaign is facing some trouble.
The Union Leader reported that Murphy cited the Cain campaign’s refusal to mount a serious effort in the critical, first-in-the-nation primary state.

“There is no ill will toward Herman Cain,” Murphy reportedly told the paper. “There was a strategic difference and I left the campaign because of those differences. The differences involved the New Hampshire strategy and how much investment the campaign should put into New Hampshire.”

The Union Leader reports that Murphy wanted the Cain campaign to send in money to hire more people and for office space but that his requests were denied.

As for Zeiler, the paper quotes him as saying he “resigned last week to return to my home in Wisconsin.”

Cain’s people dispute the notion that his campaign isn’t making an effort in New Hampshire, which is typically viewed as a important primary state; claiming that they’ve already hired a replacement for the departed. But the perception has been that outside of Iowa and Georgia, Cain’s home state, there hasn’t been much of a campaign to speak of; and what his staff hasn’t learned is perception is often reality.

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