Rasmussen, using a reasonable party ID breakdown (unlike Public Policy Polling), shows John Raese losing ground to Gov. Joe Manchin, who has broken with his party on ObamaCare and cap-and-trade, though still maintaining a three point lead in the race for United States Senate in West Virginia:
- Raese: 49%
- Manchin: 46%
- Other: 2%
- Not sure: 3%
The is the first time Rasmussen has polled in the race since the NRSC ad scandal, which seems to have cost Raese his lead. But the bad news doesn’t end there.
As has been often noted here when covering this race, Manchin is enormously popular in his state. This latest poll finds Manchin’s favorability with voters at 70% and 72% approve of his job performance as Governor. However, this race has been a referendum on President Barack Obama, whose job performance is disapproved of by 61% of voters.
Raese has seen his unfavorables jump from 40% in the last poll to 49%. His favorable rating is down from 56% to 48%. The silver-lining is that he has only dropped off by one point since the last poll, while undecideds are breaking for Manchin. He also continues to hold the lead among independents, 59% to 32%.And 53% believe Manchin should stay in West Virginia, continuing to serve as Governor.