Rand Paul

KY Senate: Rand Paul headed for victory in GOP primary

Even though Trey Grayson is still embracing the establishment, tossing out attacks and complaining about Fox News, Rand Paul seems to be headed for victory in the Republican primary for United States Senate in Kentucky:

Unless there has been a polling fiasco that rivals the Great New Hampshire Primary Debacle Of 2008, Rand Paul will emerge tomorrow as the GOP nominee in Kentucky. This is an astonishing development: If I were to take the wayback machine to last summer to tell 2009 Sean Trende that Rand Paul was to be the GOP nominee, 2009 Sean Trende would probably have voluntarily committed himself to a mental hospital to get ahead of what appeared to be his forthcoming break with reality.

You see, the GOP got its favored candidate when Secretary of State Trey Grayson, one of two Republicans holding statewide office, declared for the seat of retiring Senator Jim Bunning. Ron Paul’s son, Rand, later declared for the seat, and was seen as something of a gadfly.

Kentucky Senate: Rand Paul 52% Trey Grayson 34%

The final Public Policy Polling poll of the Kentucky Senate race has more good news for Rand Paul:

Fueled by a high level of unhappiness with the direction of the Republican Party, Rand Paul appears to be poised for an easy victory over Trey Grayson in Tuesday’s Kentucky Senate primary. He leads PPP’s final poll 52-34.

There are more Republicans planning to vote on Tuesday (41%) who are unhappy with the current direction of their party than ones who are happy with it (36%). Among those discontented folks Paul has a staggering 59-28 lead which more than offsets the 47-45 lead Grayson has with the voters who think the party’s current course is fine.

A Paul victory will be a clear signal that Kentucky Republicans want the party to move further to the right. 32% of likely primary voters think that the party is too liberal and Paul has a 71-21 advantage with them that accounts for almost his entirely polling lead. With the other 68% of voters who don’t think the party’s too liberal Paul is ahead only 45-41


When PPP first polled this race right before Christmas Paul had a double digit lead, and it seems he’s never looked back. Other candidates might want to study what Paul did to build such an apparently insurmountable lead during the last quarter of 2009 because it’s definitely one of the biggest surprises of this election cycle so far.

Indeed, and good news for those who want to see the GOP return to small-government fiscal conservatism.

Live-blog tomorrow night

We’ll be live-blogging returns for primaries tomorrow evening from four states, Arkansas, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania. These returns will include Rand Paul’s bid for United States Senate in Kentucky over establishment candidate Trey Grayson.

Tune in tomorrow night!

Kentucky Senate: Rand Paul 49% Trey Grayson 33%

The final poll of the GOP Senate primary race from Kentucky television station WHAS shows Rand Paul coasting to what looks like an overwhelming victory over Trey Greyson:

It’s the Senate race the entire nation is watching — as Trey Grayson — the choice of some of the biggest names in the Republican party is trying to overcome a tidal wave of tea - as Rand Paul is coasting on that tea party wave.

The Rand Paul phenomenon in Kentucky shows no signs of ebbing tonight - as the Bowling Green opthamologist’s double digit lead continues over Secretary of State Trey Grayson.  He says his message is behind his 16 point lead.

Paul    49%
Grayson  33%
Stephenson 3%
Martin   3%
Scribner  1%
Undecided  11%

“I come from the Tea Party movement,” Paul said Wednesday, “and the tea party movement really feels like government is out of control, that we’re being consumed by this debt.”

As Trey Grayson campaigned in Louisville this morning, some may suggest the dark clouds that hung over him were a metaphor for the poll numbers..

“We’re seeing a very close race,” Grayson insisted, “A jump ball if you will and we’re going to finish strong and one of the things you’re not going to see us do is quit.

That’s usually what you hear from guys who are about to lose, of course.

It’s not over yet, of course, but things are looking very good in the Bluegrass State.

Rand Paul Talks To Neil Cavuto

Rand Paul was on Neil Cavuto’s show Monday talking about the role of the Tea Party Movement in his campaign, and the 2010 elections generally:

H/T: Cubachi

Kentucky Senate Debate Video

See Video

Tonight On C-Span: Rand Paul And Trey Greyson Debate

This should make for interesting television.

Tonight at 8pm EST, C-Span will simulcast the final debate among the candidates for the GOP nomination for Senate in Kentucky. The frontrunners, of course, are Rand Paul and Trey Greyson.

You can watch on C-Span, or via the online live stream.

We will try to have video of the debate tomorrow.

Rand Paul On Freedom Watch With Judge Napolitano

Rand Paul was on Freedom Watch with Judge Andrew Napolitano with a campaign update, including the story behind James Dobson’s switch, the endorsement this morning from Jim DeMint, and the request the Paul campaign has made that Trey Greyson recuse himself from presiding over the certification of the vote in their Senate primary:

H/T: Cubachi

KY Senate: Jim DeMint endorses Rand Paul

Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC), via the Senate Conservatives Fund, has endorsed Rand Paul in the Republican primary for United States Senate in Kentucky:

“I’m endorsing Rand Paul because he’s a true conservative who will stand up to the Washington establishment,” said Senator DeMint. “Rand has been running on the issues that matter since the beginning of this campaign. He’s a strong advocate for balanced budgets, he wants to end the culture of earmarks, he supports term limits, and he’s 100% pro-life. Rand is exactly the kind of leader Americans are looking for right now. He’s not a career politician and he’s got the guts to stand up to the massive spending, bailouts, and debt that are being forced on us in Washington.
“We’re trying to lead our party back to the principles that made our country great,” said Senator DeMint,” and back to where the majority of Americans want us to be. Americans are looking for leaders who will honor their oath of office by fighting to ‘protect and defend’ the Constitution. They’re looking for leaders like Rand Paul in Kentucky, and I’m proud to endorse him.”

DeMint, one of my heroes, was not going to get involved in the race, but after Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell got involved in the race yesterday by endorsing Trey Grayson, I guess he felt that he had to jump in.

KY Senate: Two weeks left in primary battle between Paul and Grayson

The Republican primary for United States Senate in Kentucky is starting to get interesting with just two weeks to go. Both Trey Grayson and Rand Paul are announcing endorsements. Grayson’s campaign is also touting internal polling that show s an even race.

Dave Weigel has heard that Paul’s internals show him up by double-digits, and polling made public by various firms would seem to back that up, including a new survey from Public Policy Polling.

Rand Paul v. Trey Grayson

  • Paul: 46%
  • Grayson: 28%
  • Other: 4%
  • Not sure: 21%

As we all know, the only poll that matters is the one taken on election day, which is May 18th in Kentucky.

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