Quinnipiac

Obama loses young people on healthcare issue

The Quinnipiac University poll brought bad news virtually across the board for President Barack Obama. But three particular parts of the poll relating to young people between the ages of 18 and 29 deserves discussion.

The poll found that voters overwhelmingly disapprove of President Obama’s handling of healthcare by a 24-point margin, at 36/60. The age demographic breakdown shows a 16-point divide in his approval rating among young people, at 40/56:

 Healthcare approval rating

It’s the lowest of the four age demographics, but still very important.

When Quinnipiac asked voters who they trust to do a better job on the healthcare issue, President Obama or Republicans in Congress, voters gave a very slight edge to the GOP. It’s the first the Republicans have had an advantage of any kind on healthcare, according to the firm.

Holding any edge over President Obama on the healthcare issue, no matter how small, is important because he has staked his legacy on the issue. But the most interesting part is, yet again, the demographics. young people gave a 5-point edge to Republicans:

 Healthcare trust

Brutal new poll for Obama, especially on the details

Quinnipiac University has released its latest poll of President Obama’s approval rating and opinions on various political issues of the day, and the results aren’t pretty:

American voters disapprove 54 - 39 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his lowest approval rating in any Quinnipiac University national poll since he became president, as even women disapprove 51 - 40 percent, according to a national poll released today.

Perhaps even worse, for the first time in their polling, Quinnipiac finds a majority of voters (52%) think the President is not “honest and trustworthy”:

“Any Democrat with an 11-point approval deficit among women is in trouble. And any elected official with an 8-point trust deficit is in serious trouble.”

“President Obama’s job approval rating has fallen to the level of former President George W. Bush at the same period of his Presidency,” Malloy said.

President Bush’s party lost control of both the House and the Senate a year later, and with less favorable electoral maps to the opposition party at the time than what we’re seeing for next year’s elections.

As bad as the overall ratings are, the specific issue approval ratings are even worse. Ironically, after Fort Hood, Boston, the drone war, and NSA leaks, the only issue where Obama has a positive approval rating is terrorism. On every other issue, he is at least 15 points underwater:

Q-issues

Why the new CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac polls are meaningless

I am not a poll truther, indeed when Romney was trailing in the polls and the trendline for him was bad in September, I warned conservatives to take those polls seriously and stop trying to claim that every poll was part of some secret plot to undermine Romney. That having been said, someone needs to explain to me how — according to the new NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac poll — Romney leads among independents in Virginia by 21 points but is somehow losing the state to Obama by 1 point. Is there a single sober person who has a turnout model for Virginia that would allow Obama to overcome a 21-point deficit among independents? I don’t think so. If Romney wins indies by 21 points on election night, he carries VA by 5 points.

In 2008, independents made up 27% of the Virginia electorate and Obama won them by 1 point en route to a 6 point win. NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac says Romney leads by 21 points among independents in Virginia today. Yet, somehow their poll shows Obama actually ahead in Virginia by 1 point. For the sake of argument, lets just pretend 2008 turnout turnout model, a model most analysts believe overstates Obama’s numbers, is the turnout model for Virginia in 2012. Even by the 2008 turnout model Obama simply can not lose independents by 21 points and win the state.

Its not just Virginia, in Ohio the Quinnipiac poll shows Romney ahead among indies by 6 but losing the state by 5 points. Again, if you assume the 2008 turnout model - the most advantageous to Obama as humanly possible - this simply defies logic. Obama won independents in Ohio in 2008 by 8 points, independents made up 30% of the Ohio electorate in 2008. If Romney leads independents in Ohio by 6 points, and even assuming the 2008 Obama super turnout model, how in God’s name is Romney losing by 5 points? Simply put, it is not possible.

Today in Liberty: Americans say Obama is the worst president in 70 years, Senate Dems push for vote on crony Ex-Im Bank

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.” — William Pitt

— Obama is the worst president since World War II: But George W. Bush isn’t far behind, according to a new survey from Quinnipiac University. “President Barack Obama is the worst president since World War II, 33 percent of American voters say in a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today,” Quinnipiac notes. “Another 28 percent pick President George W. Bush.” Richard Nixon was a distant third, with 13 percent. Ronald Reagan was the top-choice for best president over the same timeframe, followed by Bill Clinton and John F. Kennedy. It’s worth noting that Obama finished fourth on that list, while Bush 43 was tied for last place. Also worth noting is that Americans believe that the country would be better off if Mitt Romney had won the 2012 presidential election.

Colorado voters aren’t happy about new gun control laws

If the successful recall of two anti-gun Colorado state senators wasn’t enough of an indiction of much opposition there was to the state’s new onerous gun control laws, this Quinnipiac poll released last week should give you an idea. The poll found that opposition to the measures has reached a new high:

The survey found that only 39 percent of Colorado voters favor the state’s hotly debated 2013 package of gun control measures, down from 43 percent support in Quinnipiac’s Feb. 5 poll.

At the same time, opposition to the gun control laws is rising. The poll found that 56 percent of Colorado voters oppose the firearms laws, up from 52 percent in the Feb. 5 survey.

By the way, a third anti-gun state senator resigned rather than face a recall election, one that she more than likely would’ve lost, which would’ve tipped control of the chamber to Colorado Republicans.

The poll didn’t just find opposition to Colorado’s gun control laws, it also found that a majority of voters support allowing teachers and school officials carry guns on campus:

The poll also found that voters support by a 50 percent to 45 percent margin allowing teachers and school officials to carry firearms on school grounds, and back metal detectors at school entrances by an overwhelming 74 percent to 20 percent margin.

Quinnipiac poll: Obama approval rating hits new low, voters want GOP control of Senate

Grinch-Obama

Santa Claus has delivered a big block of coal to President Barack Obama by way of the latest national survey from the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

President Obama’s numbers have hit a new low, based on Quinnipiac’s polling, as just 38% of voters approve of his job performance, while 57% disapprove. The numbers are worse than what the firm found last month, when his approval rating was at 39/54.

He doesn’t fair much better on an issue-by-issue basis. While he has tried to pivot to the economy to take focus away from disastrous Obamacare rollout, voters don’t seem to be buying the rhetoric. Just 37% approve of President Obama’s handling of the economy, 59% disapprove.

The numbers are even worse on healthcare, the issue on which President Obama has staked his legacy, as 34% of voters approve of job performance on healthcare, while 62% disapprove of his handling of the issue.

While Quinnipiac did not specifically poll Obamacare, one can reasonably surmise, given that just about every other poll confirms it, that the rollout of the law and other factors have led to the decline in support.

President Obama still has a hill to climb in order to restore his credibility with voters. Just as with other recent polls, Quinnipiac found that a majority of voters (52%) don’t believe he is trustworthy and 51% say he isn’t a strong leader.

No, Americans don’t trust President Obama

Some of President Obama’s most ardent apologists spent some time on the Sunday talk show circuit desperately trying to spin the Obamacare implementation disaster and the millions of insurance cancellation notices that Americans are receiving because of the law’s narrowly written grandfathered plan regulations.

The message was that President Obama didn’t lie when he said people could keep their health plans under Obamacare, Americans just misunderstood what he was saying, and that people still trust him. Or something.

During a panel discussion on ABC’s This Week, Rep. Keith Ellison (D-MN), one of the most leftist members of the House, tried to spin President Obama’s oft-repeated, now-infamous promise. The problem is that the Minnesota Democrat was incredibly misleading in doing so.

“You know, I just want to say that I think that everything that the president said and did was in pursuit of trying to get Americans, all Americans health care. So I think even though he may have said, if you like your decent insurance, your insurance that works, then you can keep it, I think that people really get that,” Ellison said. “He owned it. He said, look, man, if you misunderstood what I was trying to say, I’m sorry about that.”

“I think that shows integrity. He didn’t do anything to self-promote. He did — what he was doing he was trying to do — to help Americans all over this country for decades,” he added.

Democrats lose advantage in congressional ballot polls

A day after releasing brutal poll numbers for President Barack Obama, Quinnipiac University released another poll with very bad news for congressional Democrats.

A little more than a month after the polling firm found Democrats with a huge 9-point advantage (43/34) just before the tumultuous government shutdown, Republicans have gained ground and are now tied (39/39) in the generic congressional ballot.

Quinnipiac saw big swing from independent voters compared to the poll they released on October 1. The latest poll found Republicans with an 11-point advantage (37/26) over Democrats with independents. In October, the Democrats had a 2-point lead (32/30) over Republicans with this important voting bloc.

Here’s a quick look at Quinnipiac generic congressional ballot polls to give you an idea of how things have shifted this year:

 Generic Congressional Ballot

The poll numbers for Republicans before, during, and after the government shutdown were abysmal. Talking heads and pundits on both sides of the aisle predicted that the GOP would not only lose its shot at taking control of the Senate, but could even lose control of the House.

Quinnipiac: Paul leads GOP field, Cruz tied for fifth

While Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) may have received a bump in Public Policy Polling’s most recent national survey of 2016 Republican presidential candidates, the latest national poll from Quinnipiac shows that Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) tops the field.

The poll, conducted between September 23-29, found that Paul takes 17% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters. Gov. Chris Christie (R-NJ) and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) aren’t far behind, with 13% and 12%, respectively.

Former Gov. Jeb Bush (R-FL) is in fourth with 11%. Cruz is tied with Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) with 10% a piece.

“The race for the GOP nomination remains wide open with a handful of candidates bunched together in low double-digits,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a release on the results. “Sen. Ted Cruz’ high-profile role opposing Obamacare has added him to that group, but he probably will have to find other ways to keep his star rising.”

“Over the last several months, Sen. Marco Rubio’s star has fallen a bit and Sen. Rand Paul’s has risen a bit, while Gov. Jeb Bush, Gov. Christopher Christie and Congressman Paul Ryan have essentially been flickering in place,” he added.

Here’s a look at latest Quinnipiac poll compared to the one that the organization took back in April.

Poll: Americans’ views shift in favor of civil liberties

Americans are not willing to trade liberty for security, despite overtures from President Barack Obama and politicians from both sides of the aisle, according to a new poll from Quinnipiac. They also reject the notion that Edward Snowden, the man who linked the information about the NSA’s broad surveillance techniques, is a traitor to his country.

“In a massive shift in attitudes, voters say 45 - 40 percent the government’s anti-terrorism efforts go too far restricting civil liberties, a reversal from a January 14, 2010, survey by the independent Quinnipiac University when voters said 63 - 25 percent that such activities didn’t go far enough to adequately protect the country,” the polling firm noted in a release on Wednesday (emphasis added).

“There is a gender gap on counter-terrorism efforts as men say 54 - 34 percent they have gone too far and women say 47 - 36 percent they have not gone far enough. There is little difference among Democrats and Republicans who are about evenly divided. Independent voters say 49 - 36 percent that counter-terrorism measures have gone too far,” added Quinnipiac. “Some of the largest growth in those concerned about the threat to civil liberties is among men and Republicans, groups historically more likely to be supportive of governmental anti- terrorism efforts. “


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