It’s been awhile since we’ve posted the GOP Presidential Power Rankings. Honestly, I needed a break from the race. But with the first votes being cast on January 3rd in Iowa, we need to crank it up again.
- We are now less than a year away from the 2012 Presidential Election; 364 days to be exact (November 6, 2012).
- The latest numbers from Gallup show Obama and Romney tied. However, he leads Perry and Cain both nationally and in “swing states.”
- A generic Republican beats Obama on key issues in swing states.
- Jim Pethokoukis notes a recent election forcast model showing that the odds of Obama being re-elected are declining.
- Whoever wins the GOP primary will, along with Obama, face a skeptical electorate.
- Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) will not endorse in the GOP primary.
It’s been another interesting week in the battle for the Republican nomination for president. Rick Perry continues his free fall as Herman Cain benefits from a substantial amount of press coming off his straw poll win in Florida. Of course, Romney stands to benefit from this as he hasn’t had much of a tea party appeal.
In this latest version of our Power Rankings, Cain and Newt Gingrich are moved up, Bachmann drops down into the bottom tier. And while may disagree with this, Romney moves back to the top.
The following was submitted by Nick Nottleman, a reader and concerned American.
The 2000 Presidential Election pitted George W. Bush against then Vice President Al Gore. Ralph Nader from the Green Party received 2.74 % of the popular vote and no other candidate received more than .5% of the popular vote. But the two main characters in this play were George W. Bush and Al Gore. Or were they?
While the Internet bubble was definitely bursting, the country was for the most part in decent shape. The military had been downsized considerably and for the first time in many years, there was a surplus in the Federal Budget. The Story’s villain was “The Clinton” and his sidekick, the “Blue Gobbler.” There to report it all, the likes of Rush Limbaugh and several reporters at Fox News.
In the 2012 election, the same strategy seems to be being deployed. An article at the Daily Caller quotes a Rasmussen poll:
A generic Republican presidential candidate would beat Barack Obama by a five-point margin if the election were held today, according to a poll released Tuesday by Rasmussen.
The as-yet-unnamed Republican candidate leads Obama 47 percent to 42 percent. This is the fourth consecutive week that Rasmussen’s polling has found a generic Republican candidate with a lead.
And Rasmussen is not alone.
Wait a second… you mean to say anyone with an (R) behind their name beats President Obama?
Because the general consensus being built is that any Republican would be a better president. On a semi-sane day, I might actually agree with that premise, but I prefer life out on the fringe. You know, where things like realizing THAT IS EXACTLY HOW WE ENDED UP WITH George W. Bush happens!
More than a month after the State Department released its report finding that the Keystone XL pipeline would have little impact on the environment, President Barack Obama continued to stall on a decision that could green-light the project. But a new Washington Post/ABC News poll finds that nearly two-thirds of Americans support Keystone XL:
Americans support the idea of constructing the Keystone XL oil pipeline between Canada and the United States by a nearly 3 to 1 margin, with 65 percent saying it should be approved and 22 percent opposed, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.
The findings also show that the public thinks the massive project, which aims to ship 830,000 barrels of oil a day from Alberta and the northern Great Plains to refineries on the Gulf Coast, will produce significant economic benefits. Eighty-five percent say the pipeline would create a significant number of jobs, with 62 percent saying they “strongly” believed that to be the case.
This may not come as a surprise to you, but Public Policy Polling (PPP) has unveiled that Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) is the least popular Senator in the country.
According to the latest PPP Arizona poll, Sen. McCain is unanimously disliked among Republicans, Democrats and Independents. The poll indicated that only 30% of Arizonans approve of his job in the Senate while 54% disapprove.
Among conservatives and libertarians, McCain could face major issues if he decides to run for reelection in 2016. During President Obama’s push for stricter gun control measures in 2013, Sen. McCain offered his support to Sen. Joe Manchin’s (D-WV) gun control bill by voting for it and calling it a “common sense” law.
While many liberty-minded Republicans were standing with Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) during his 13-hour long filibuster (a move praised by Republicans, Democrats and Independents alike), Sen. McCain used his influence to put the public against party colleagues like Paul and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and referred to them as wacko birds, a term that was later used by several liberty-minded republicans and libertarians in social media drives to show neoconservatives that the childish criticism would not discourage them.
Today in Liberty: February jobs report, Rand Paul to speak at CPAC today, House passes $1 billion Ukraine aid package
“There can be no liberty unless there is economic liberty.” — Margaret Thatcher
— February jobs numbers above expectations: The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that 175,000 jobs were added in February, which is above expectations. The unemployment rate ticked up slightly to 6.7%. The labor force participation rate remained steady an anemic 63%. The December and January numbers were revised upward by a total of 25,000 jobs.
Nearly a week after she filed paperwork to seek reelection, Sen. Kay Hagan (D-NC) could not be in a worse position. The latest Elon University poll shows that North Carolina Democrat’s approval rating has fallen yet again:
Only one-third of North Carolina registered voters approve of U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan’s job performance, her lowest rating in a year, according to the latest Elon University Poll.
“Kay Hagan’s slight drop in approval rating would not necessarily be a concern by itself. However, this is the fourth straight fall in a year. And this last decline occurred when many elected counterparts saw increases in approval ratings. The trend suggests the Senator will face a tougher-than-expected reelection battle this November,” said Dr. Jason Husser, Assistant Director of the Elon University Poll.
Hagan, a Democrat, faces a tough re-election fight this year as the national GOP has identified North Carolina as a state to win. Television advertisements attacking her support of the Affordable Care Act have been running across the state since January. Fifty-two percent of respondents in Elon’s latest poll said they thought Obamacare would make health care worse, and only 30 percent said it would improve care.
Since the Elon University Poll in November, Hagan has lost support among two key constituencies. In November, 63 percent of Democrats favored her job performance, compared with 55 percent last month. Thirty-three percent of women gave her a thumbs up in February versus 40 percent in November.
President Barack Obama rode into the White House in 2009 off the rhetoric of “hope” and “change” and won reelection in 2012 on using a simple word, “Forward,” as his campaign slogan. But, after six years in office, Americans are realizing that what they were sold is about as real as unicorns and fairy dust.
Over at The Washington Times, Daniel Lambro points to numbers from the latest CBS News/New York Times poll shows that 60% of Americans say that they are disappointed in Obama’s presidency:
It’s one thing for President Obama to see his job approval polls slumping into the low 40s and his job disapproval scores climbing to 54 percent, according to the latest Gallup Poll surveys. It’s quite another thing entirely when his longtime allies and most ardent cheerleaders are criticizing the way he has governed, or not governed.
CBS News reported Wednesday that nearly 60 percent of Americans it polled “say they are disappointed” in his presidency. Notably, 40 percent of independents said they were “very disappointed” and a stunning one-fourth of the Democrats that were surveyed “express at least some disappointment.”
Lambro also points out that some Democrats who have backed President Obama’s agenda, including Obamacare, are trying to put distance between themselves and the White House. He uses Rep. Joe Garcia (D-FL) and an ad being run by the Democrat-backed House Majority PAC as an example:
How is it that Republicans are always blamed for gridlock and partisanship when Democrats are less willing to compromise on some of the biggest issues being debated in the United States? You’ve heard the narrative that’s pushed by President Obama and Democratic lawmakers, taken almost unquestionably by the media.
The only catch is that’s not necessarily true. In a recent poll, CBS News and The New York Times asked Republicans and Democrats if they would consider voting for a candidate who didn’t share their views on issues like gay marriage and global warming. The results, well, contradict everything we’ve been told:
On the issue of global warming, 56 percent of Republican respondents said they would consider voting for a candidate that did not reflect their views on that issue. Only 44 percent of Democratic respondents said the same. On same-sex marriage, 47 percent of Republicans said that they would support a candidate whose views did not mirror their own. 43 percent of Democrats agreed.
On increasing the federal minimum wage, 59 percent of Republicans said they would consider supporting the candidate who does not reflect their views. 45 percent of Democrats would do the same. Finally, on the issue of abortion rights, Republicans again proved to be more flexible than Democrats. 42 percent of GOP voters said they would vote for a candidate who does not comport with their preferences on that issue. Only 36 percent of Democrats agreed.
Not only are uninsured Americans increasingly skeptical of Obamacare, a big problem for the Obama administration and insurers, the latest Kaiser Family Foundation monthly tracking poll shows that a majority all people surveyed say that they want more provider options and lower premiums:
When Obamacare handed insurance companies millions of compulsory customers, it also handed them a reminder of one of their industry’s toughest realities: Consumers want low premiums, and they want to see any doctor they want. And it’s impossible to give them both.
Among those the foundation surveyed, 51 percent said they’d prefer a broader network and higher premiums, compared with just 37 percent who preferred “a more limited range of doctors and hospitals” in exchange for lower premiums. And most of the 37 percent changed their minds once they were reminded that a plan with “a more limited range of doctors and hospitals” might mean the same thing as “you would not be able to visit the doctors and hospitals you usually use.”
This has been one of the biggest recent complaints about Obamacare, outside the millions of canceled health plans caused by the law’s narrowly written regulations. It’s a valid criticism of the law, one that has led to a number of Americans losing access to their primary providers or specialists, despite President Obama’s promise that people would be able to keep their doctors.