poll

Voters to Democrats: It’s Obama, stupid!

Try as they may to reshape the narrative about the national political landscape to keep control of the Senate, the new Washington Post/ABC News poll shows that one of Democrats’ biggest that problems is the majority of voters who want a Congress that will challenge President Barack Obama’s agenda:

The new Washington Post-ABC News survey showed that Obama’s approval marks had fallen 5 percent since the first three months of 2014 and that a majority of respondents wanted a Republican Congress to counter the White House.

Furthermore, just 42 percent of those surveyed approved of the president’s handling of the economy, 37 percent supported his implementation of Obamacare and just one-third of respondents backed his approach to the standoff with Russia over Ukraine.
[…]
Of those surveyed, 53 percent said it was most important to have a Republican Congress to challenge the president’s agenda while just 39 percent said they favored Democratic control on Capitol Hill.

Whatever bump Democrats thought they would get out of the supposed “good news” about Obamacare is gone. It turned out to be a blip on the radar. While Democratic leaders continue to defend the law, vulnerable members from red and/or purple states can’t do that on the campaign trail.

Colorado voters aren’t happy about new gun control laws

If the successful recall of two anti-gun Colorado state senators wasn’t enough of an indiction of much opposition there was to the state’s new onerous gun control laws, this Quinnipiac poll released last week should give you an idea. The poll found that opposition to the measures has reached a new high:

The survey found that only 39 percent of Colorado voters favor the state’s hotly debated 2013 package of gun control measures, down from 43 percent support in Quinnipiac’s Feb. 5 poll.

At the same time, opposition to the gun control laws is rising. The poll found that 56 percent of Colorado voters oppose the firearms laws, up from 52 percent in the Feb. 5 survey.

By the way, a third anti-gun state senator resigned rather than face a recall election, one that she more than likely would’ve lost, which would’ve tipped control of the chamber to Colorado Republicans.

The poll didn’t just find opposition to Colorado’s gun control laws, it also found that a majority of voters support allowing teachers and school officials carry guns on campus:

The poll also found that voters support by a 50 percent to 45 percent margin allowing teachers and school officials to carry firearms on school grounds, and back metal detectors at school entrances by an overwhelming 74 percent to 20 percent margin.

How Republicans could start a conversation with Millennials

Republicans have a long way to go to make in-roads with Millennials. These young people between the ages of 18 and 34 don’t necessarily agree with the message that the party has put forward over the years, particularly on social issues.

But there are avenues through which Republicans can start a much-needed conversation with Millennials, and it starts with the controversy over the National Security Agency’s domestic surveillance programs.

April Glaser of the Electronic Frontier Foundation noted late last week that college students are taking action on their campuses in growing numbers to spread the message about what the NSA is doing to their civil liberties. This particular advocacy organization has been traveling around the country, visiting colleges and seeing overwhelming response to this controversy.

Of all the issues in the Barack Obama’s presidency, the NSA domestic surveillance controversy has been the one to stick in Millennials minds.

In May 2013, shortly after Edward Snowden’s disclosures dominated the news cycle, CNN found that President Obama, who has constantly defended the NSA programs, held a 63/34 approval rating among this age group. But the following month, his approval rating with young voters was underwater, at 48/50.

Today in Liberty: Dems worried Obama will compromise, Fourth Amendment at the Supreme Court

“One area of common ground for most politically engaged people (who aren’t cronies) is the issue of crony capitalism. [M]ost people, libertarians, progressives, liberals, conservatives, pretty much agree that using the government to further the interests of private parties for profit is wrong.”Nick Sorrentino

— Dems worried Obama will compromise: That relies on the assumption that Democrats perform poorly this fall, of course. “With Obama’s political career winding down and poll numbers continuing to languish, his party brethren fret that their own president — forced to work with GOP majorities — would give away the store on key policy issues ranging from the budget to energy and trade,” Politico explains. “It’s a concern congressional Democrats have voiced every time Obama and Vice President Joe Biden tried to cut big fiscal deals with Republicans — and the panic is now more palpable with the growing prospect of a Senate GOP majority.” Oh, God forbid President Obama wake up to a new reality on January 3, 2015 and realize he needs to, you know, actually work with Republicans if he wants salvage his legacy.

What South Park can teach us about current politics

South Park ran an episode in 2004 that revolved around an election of a new school mascot, the choices for which were a Giant Douche and a Turd Sandwich. Stan Marsh, one of the four main protagonists of the show, refused to vote and was subsequently booted from the fictional Colorado town.

Eventually, Stan came back to the town to cast his vote in the election, saying, “I learned that I’d better get used to having to pick between a douche and a turd sandwich because it’s usually the choice I’ll have.”

The episode wasn’t just brilliant indictment of the 2004 presidential election between then-President George W. Bush and Sen. John Kerry (D-MA), but also an American political system that presents Democrats and Republicans as the parties with the only answers to the United States’ woes.

Not much has changed in the 10 years since the boys from South Park were forced to choose between a Giant Douche and a Turd Sandwich. Voters are still presented with the same options at the ballot box, often forced to cast a ballot for a party that they feel doesn’t best represent the American people.

Rasmussen Reports released a survey on Thursday which found that 53 percent of likely voters “think it is fair to say that neither party in Congress is the party of the American people.”

Poll: Independents, Millennials prefer anti-Obamacare candidates

While President Barack Obama and congressional Democrats say the debate over Obamacare is over and that the country should move on, one of the nation’s largest voting blocs strongly disagrees.

At a press conference last week, President Obama declared that Democrats running in the 2014 mid-term election “should forcefully defend and be proud” of Obamacare,” adding, “ I don’t think we should apologize for it, and I don’t think we should be defensive about it.”

But a recent Fox News poll found that 53 percent of registered voters prefer a candidate who “promises to fight against Obamacare.” A deeper look at the poll reveals that 54 percent of independents and 53 percent of Millennials, those under the age of 35, share that sentiment, an ominous sign for Democrats who take President Obama’s advice.

Overall, 56 percent of voters oppose Obamacare, including 63 percent of independents and 52 percent of Millennials. The poll also found that 73 percent of voters say that a candidates position on Obamacare will be either the “single most important factor” or “one of several important factors” in how they vote this fall. That includes 72 percent of independents and 66 percent of Millennials.

Two-thirds of voters want Congress to continue IRS investigation

Americans aren’t satisfied with overtures from President Barack Obama that there isn’t a “smidgen” of corruption at the Internal Revenue Service. A Fox News poll released yesterday found that two-thirds of voters want Congress to keep digging until there is accountability for the targeting of conservative groups:

The latest Fox News poll also finds 69 percent don’t feel President Obama has followed through on his vow to “find out exactly what happened on this.”

By a 49-41 percent margin, voters believe the Obama administration “intentionally had the IRS target conservative political groups.” That includes 26 percent of Democrats, 52 percent of independents and 71 percent of Republicans.

Meanwhile, 67 percent of voters want Congress to keep investigating the IRS until “someone is held accountable.” An all-time high of 78 percent thought lawmakers should investigate the IRS in early June.

The poll shows agreement across party lines: Majorities of Republicans (77 percent), independents (67 percent) and Democrats (57 percent) favor Congress continuing to investigate until “someone is held accountable.”

Good luck with that. President Obama and congressional Democrats have no desire to cooperate with inquiries into the IRS’s actions, despite the fact that conservative groups were explicitly singled out for scrutiny.

Lois Lerner, the disgraced ex-IRS official at the center of congressional inquiries, is the obvious person who could be held accountable, but she’s refused to testify at committee hearings.

63% of Millennials believe Obama often lies to the country

A Fox News poll released this week found that 61 percent of Americans believe President Barack Obama lies to the country about important matters, while just 15 percent believe that he always tells the truth.

As one might imagine, Republicans and Democrats have differing views on the question. For example, 85 percent of Republicans believe President Obama lies most or some of the time on important matters, while 59 percent of Democrats believe he lies only now and then or never. Independents, however, are more likely to side with Republicans.

The more interesting figure is the percentage of Millennials who believe President Obama has a lying problem. The poll found that 63 percent of registered voters under the age of 35 believe he lies to them most or some of the time.

NC Senate: Karl Rove’s preferred candidate trails Kay Hagan

Thom Tillis

State House Speaker Thom Tillis (R-Mecklenberg) may hold a slim lead over Republicans vying for the party’s U.S. Senate nomination, but he’s the only potential challenger who trails Sen. Kay Hagan (D-NC) in a head-to-head matchup.

The latest Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey out of North Carolina found that Hagan trails most of the Republican field. Mark Harris (44/40) and Heather Grant (43/39) both hold a 4-point lead over Hagan. Greg Brannon, who has received a lot of grassroots support, holds a 2-point edge, at 42/40.

But Hagan leads Tillis, the frontrunner for the Republican nomination, by a 2-point margin, at 43/41. Tom Jensen, director of Public Policy Polling, attributes this his being more well known than the other Republicans in the race.

“In Tillis’ case being well known is not necessarily a positive thing,” wrote Tom Jensen, director of Public Policy Polling, “his time at the helm of an unpopular legislature has left him with a 20/39 favorability rating.”

Here’s the thing, though. Tillis is the Republican establishment’s pick in this race. Karl Rove’s American Crossroads dropped $1.1 million to promote Tillis ahead of the May 6 primary, hoping that it would help his preferred candidate grab the 40% he needs to avoid a runoff.

NC Senate: New poll finds Hagan trailing Republican challengers

There is some good news and bad news for Sen. Kay Hagan (D-NC) in the latest SurveyUSA poll out of North Carolina. Her approval rating has rebounded slightly, but she trails each of her potential Republican challengers.

The good news for Hagan is that SurveyUSA shows her approval rating on the rebound, though slightly. The poll, conducted from March 27-31, finds that 38% of North Carolina voters approve of her job performance, up from 34% in mid-March.

Hagan’s numbers improved across party lines with the biggest jump coming from independent voters, though she’s still underwater among this bloc (35/49). Her negatives, however, are still high. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove of her job performance, a slight drop from the 54% recorded in the previous poll.

The bad news for Hagan is that she trails each of her Republican challengers among likely voters, though most of her potential opponents are within the poll’s 2.6% margin of error.

State House Speaker Thom Tillis, the frontrunner for the Republican nomination, leads Hagan by a razor-thin, 1-point margin (46/45). Greg Brannon (47/45), Heather Grant (46/44), and Ted Alexander (46/44) each lead the Democrat by 2 points. Mark Harris holds a 4-point lead over Hagan (46/44), the largest among her Republican challengers.

The mid-March poll didn’t pair Hagan against her Republican challengers.

Tillis still holds a lead among Republican primary voters, though his support dropped since the last poll, from 28% to 23%. Brannon takes 15%, the same as the previous poll.


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