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Kentucky

Rand Paul Has Kentucky Senate Election In The Bag

Rand Paul is the next Senator of Kentucky. The election is all but wrapped up.

Most people will immediately respond that it is way too early to make such a statement; how can we possibly know what will happen over the next nine to ten months? I will concede the point that we can never be sure how an election will turn out ten months before the vote, but all evidence points towards a Rand Paul win come November.

1) Polling
Rand has seen meteoric rise in the polls over the past five months. He went from losing 26-37 in August to establishment pick Trey Grayson, to leading Grayson 44-25 in December. Also, while he was picking up this lead there was an increasing number of undecided voters from 17% in August to 32% in December. The momentum is clearly on Rand Paul’s side.

2) Campaign
From the beginning Rand has arguably run a stronger campaign. Despite never being elected to office in Kentucky, Paul had the advantage of being Congressman Ron Paul’s son. This allowed him to make his announcement on national television that he would be running for Senate. While Trey Grayson attacked this as an example of how Paul was an “outsider” to Kentucky, the famous comeback by Paul swung this war of words in his favor, “I’ve been a Kentuckian longer than Grayson’s been a Republican!”

Rand Paul leads potential Dem opponents in Kentucky

On the heels of a poll showing Rand Paul with a 19 point lead over Trey Grayson for the GOP nomination for United States Senate in Kentucky comes another survey showing both Republicans with modest leads over their potential Democratic opponents, Jack Conway and Dan Mongiardo.

Rand Paul v. Jack Conway

  • Paul: 42%
  • Conway: 36%
  • Not sure: 22%

Rand Paul v. Dan Mongiardo

  • Paul: 42%
  • Mongiardo: 36%
  • Not sure: 22%

Trey Grayson v. Jack Conway

  • Grayson: 40%
  • Conway: 33%
  • Not sure: 27%

Trey Grayson v. Dan Mongiardo

  • Grayson: 44%
  • Mongiardo: 35%
  • Not sure: 21%

According to a press release that came across last night, Rand Paul will also make his entrance into the race official by filing his paperwork with the Kentucky Secretary of State’s office.

SurveyUSA: Rand Paul leads Trey Grayson

According a new SurveyUSA/WHAS poll, Rand Paul is leading Republican establishment candidate Trey Grayson.

  • 32% Grayson
  • 35% Paul
  • 2% Johnson
  • 1% Oerther
  • 3% Thoney
  • 10% Other
  • 18% Undecided

Cross tabs are available here.

Kentucky Fight: Trey Grayson v. Rand Raul

As we mentioned a few days ago, the Republican establishment in Washington is getting behind Trey Grayson over Rand Paul in the primary for United States Senate in Kentucky.

On September 23rd, more than half the Republican caucus in the Senate will host a $500 per plate dinner on behalf of Grayson.

KentuckyFight.com (see the ad on the right) is looking to gather 5,000 liberty-minded folks to give $100 each on the same day to send a message to the elites in Washington, DC.

We here at United Liberty encourage you to give $100 on September 23rd to help put a true believer in liberty in the United States Senate.

Cupcakes: The New Cocaine

In efforts to stem the growing trend of childhood obesity, California lawmakers passed legislation in 2005 that restricted the sugar and fat content levels in food sold on public school campuses.  The law went into effect in 2007, but outcry from parents and students against the regulations is bringing the nutritional restrictions to the notice of the national public.  While the focus is currently on California, over 600 school districts across the country have similar strictures, with Kentucky campuses being subject to the strictest regulations.

KY Senate: SurveyUSA polls GOP Senate primary, Rand Paul holds lead

On the heels of last week’s Rasmussen survey, which took at look at general election prospects, SurveyUSA is out with a poll, sponsored by the Louisville Courier-Journal and WHAS-TV, in the primary between Rand Paul and his Republican primary opponents.

Kentucky GOP Senate Primary

  • Rand Paul: 42%
  • Trey Grayson: 27%
  • Bill Johnson: 5%
  • Gurley Martin: 3%
  • John Stephenson: 2%
  • Jon Scribner: 1%
  • Undecided: 19%

The poll shows a generic Republican and a generic Democrat neck and neck at 43% to 42%, with both splitting independents right down the middle.

KY Senate: Rand Paul leads Democrats by double-digits

Rasmussen is out with new polling in Kentucky showing Rand Paul and his primary opponent, Trey Grayson, with double-digit leads over potential general election match-ups with Democrats, Daniel Mongiardo and Jack Conway.

Rand Paul v. Daniel Mongiardo

  • Mongiardo: 34%
  • Paul: 51%
  • Other: 3%
  • Not sure: 12%

Rand Paul v. Jack Conway

  • Conway: 34%
  • Paul: 49%
  • Other: 4%
  • Not sure: 13%

Grayson also polls well against Conway and Mongiardo, but not as well at Paul.

Opposition to health care is an issue that is hurting the two Democrats, as 53% of likely voters strongly oppose ObamaCare. Voters are also not very kind to President Barack Obama on the issue, as 58% disapprove of his handling of health care.

Bunning wants PAYGO rules followed before extending unemployment benefits

As you may know, Sen. Jim Bunning (R-KY) has been holding up $10 billion in extended unemployment benefits. It’s a procedural tactic. Every time another Senator calls for unanimous consent, Bunning objects. Unfortunately, not many in his caucus are defending him.

Some in the media are calling it a filibuster. It’s not. And Bunning is not doing this because he philosophically opposes unemployment benefits. He plans on voting for them. Bunning is objecting because he wants the Democratic majority to abide by the PAY-GO rules. For those of you that don’t know, PAY-GO requires any new spending to be paid for by a tax increase or spending cuts. This different from paying for this extension through debt.

While I wish Bunning were doing this on philosophical and constitutional grounds, kudos to him for standing up for holding Democrats accountable.

Rand Paul gives closing arguments during debate

See Video

KY Senate: Rand Paul holds commanding lead

A new poll from Magellan Strategies shows Rand Paul appears to be pulling away from Trey Grayson, the establishment candidate, in the Republican primary for United States Senate in Kentucky.

Rand Paul v. Trey Grayson

  • Grayson: 23%
  • Paul: 44%
  • Undecided: 33%

Paul’s name ID is at 90% with 43% of GOP primary voters having a favorable view of him (12% have an unfavorable view). Grayson on the other hand has an 85% name ID, but only 31% of voters have a favorable view of him and 20% have an unfavorable view.

The interesting dynamic here is that Grayson has been elected statewide, first in 2003 and he won re-election in 2007. It’s remarkable that Rand Paul, who is making his first run for elected office has a higher name ID in a GOP than someone who has run twice statewide and his a current elected official.

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