Gallup

Another poll shows Ron Paul competitive against Obama

While Public Policy Polling left him out of the Republican candidates they polled against Barack Obama (and oddly included Herman Cain, who is polling low in the GOP field), Rasmussen released a poll yesterday showing Ron Paul just 1 point down from the president.

Barack Obama v. Ron Paul

  • Obama: 39%
  • Paul: 38%
  • Other: 14%
  • Undecided: 8%

Rasmussen also matched Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and 2008 GOP nominee for Vice President, against Obama. She didn’t fare so well, trailing by 17 points to our increasingly unpopular president.

This is the second poll this week to show Ron Paul competitive against President Obama. In case you missed it, Gallup released polling on Monday testing four GOP candidates against Obama. Ron Paul came within 2 points. Don’t look for this to be reported or anything, the media is too busy covering Jon Huntsman.

Poll shows potential GOP opponents within striking distance of Obama

According to new numbers released yesterday by Gallup, President Barack Obama is facing a tough bid for re-election as the four leading candidates for the Republican nomination are either leading, tied or within a few points. The numbers are good, but context, as Dave Weigel advises, is important.

Barack Obama v. Mitt Romney

  • Obama: 46%
  • Romney: 48%
  • Other/Don’t know: 6%

Barack Obama v. Rick Perry

  • Obama: 47%
  • Perry: 47%
  • Other/Don’t know: 6%

Barack Obama v. Ron Paul

  • Obama: 47%
  • Paul: 45%
  • Other/Don’t know: 8%

Barack Obama v. Michele Bachmann

  • Obama: 48%
  • Bachmann: 44%
  • Other/Don’t know: 7%

Interestingly, the numbers matchup with election forecasting showing that Obama would get 48% of the vote on election, as James Pethokoukis notes:

Obama’s falling approval rating on the economy

Gallup recently released numbers showing President Barack Obama’s ever-falling approval ratings on the economy. Yeah, it’s is a few days old, but it underlines a big bump in the road to President Obama’s re-election.

Obama’s approval rating on “creating jobs” is 29/65 and the “federal budget deficit” has an even larger gap that his approval rating on the economy at 25/71 (remember that time he said we’d have a net spending cut during his first term?). These are big problems for Obama since economic forecasts for the next two years predict slow growth and unemployment to remain at roughly the same level. Obviously, that’s not a position that any incumbent wants to run on.

Obama’s approval rating falls to lowest level of his presidency

Polls haven’t been kind to either side lately, especially in the wake of the budget deal. We’ve noted recently that only 49% of Americans would re-elect their Congressman, which is an astonishing number. But it’s not just Congress that is being lashed out at by seething voters. According to Gallup, President Barack Obama’s approval rating have hit their lowest mark:

President Obama’s approval rating hit an all-time low on Sunday in the Gallup Poll’s rolling average of public opinion of the president.

Thirty-nine percent of Americans said they approve of the way Obama is handling his job as president, eclipsing a previous low point of 40 percent from the Aug. 6-8 edition of the poll.

Fifty-four percent of Americans said they disapprove of the president’s job performance, also an ignominious distinction for being a high point in Gallup’s tracking poll.

It’s certainly ominous as Obama approaches what will be a very contentious election. And while it could just be a blip, it’s not a position anyone wants to find themselves in; especially that the economy is moving so slowly and possibly towards another recession.

A separate poll last week by Gallup showed that 51% of voters don’t believe that Obama deserves re-election and perhaps even more concerning is that independent voters are drifting away from him, according to a CNN poll.

Gallup: Romney leads GOP pack, but Perry and Giuliani are threats

Gallup is out with fresh numbers today in the battle for the Republican presidential nomination. And while the poll shows Mitt Romney in the lead, his lead would be slashed if Rick Perry and Rudy Giuliani enter the race. .

As I’ve said before, national polls don’t matter as far as it goes, but they make for good fodder. Romney has never been able to attractive the necessary support to win the nomination, though many Republican view it as “his turn.” Skepticism over RomneyCare, which became the blueprint for ObamaCare, is no doubt in the back of th monds of many Republican primary voters. The good news for Romney is Giuliani’s history of not committing to campaigns, so you’d have to see at least a chunk of that support going back to him should the former New York City Mayor opt not to run.

Obama walks out of meeting with Republicans

It looks like budget discussions between the White House and Republicans are reaching a boiling point. According to what House Republicans told The Hill, President Barack Obama stormed out of the negotiations after threatening House Majority Leader Eric Cantor:

Republicans said tense negotiations over raising the $14.3 trillion debt limit at the White House ended when President Obama stormed out of the meeting with a stern warning to House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.): “Don’t call my bluff.”

“It ended with the president abruptly walking out of the meeting,” Cantor told reporters upon returning to the Capitol Wednesday.
[…]
Cantor said he asked Obama if he would consider allowing two votes on the debt ceiling to give leaders more time to negotiate additional budget savings while avoiding a calamitous default.

“That’s when he got very agitated, seemingly, and said that he had sat there long enough, and that no other president — Ronald Reagan wouldn’t sit here like this — and that he’s reached the point where something’s got to give,” Cantor said, describing the president’s reaction.

“He said to me, ‘Eric, don’t call my bluff. I’m going to the American people with this,’ “ Cantor said. “I was somewhat taken aback,” he added, with a smile.

David Boaz on so-called “isolationists” in the GOP

David Boaz, executive vice president of the Cato Institute, is firing back at Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) and other neo-conservatives that are criticizing some Republicans presidential candidates for what they call “isolationist” views:

Romney leads the pack in two new polls

In polls conducted before last night’s debate in New Hampshire, Mitt Romney appears to making gains in among voters in national polls. First up is a new survey from Gallup that shows a 7 point jump in his support, and noticible declines for former Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX):

  • Mitt Romney: 24%
  • Sarah Palin: 16%
  • Herman Cain: 9%
  • Ron Paul: 7%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 6%
  • Rick Santorum: 6%
  • Michele Bachmann: 5%
  • Newt Gingrich: 5%
  • Gary Johnson: 2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%
  • Rick Perry: 1%
  • Other: 1%
  • Undecided: 18%

CNN also has a new poll out, though with slightly different dynamics since they included Rudy Giuliani, who is reportedly considering a presidential bid. Unsurprisingly, the opted not to poll former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson. Like Gallup, the CNN poll shows Romney in the lead, though Sarah Palin is not far behind:

  • Mitt Romney: 24%
  • Sarah Palin: 20%
  • Rudy Giuliani: 12%
  • Herman Cain: 10%
  • Newt Gingrich: 10%
  • Ron Paul: 7%
  • Michele Bachmann: 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%
  • Rick Santorum 1%

A review of 10 polls by Real Clear Politics shows Romney ahead by 5.2 points over the other prospective Republican candidates. As I said last week, I expect more establishment types to coalesce around his candidacy since they will increasingly view it as his “turn.”

Gallup shows no clear frontrunner in GOP race, 1/4 undecided

The latest Gallup poll for the Republican presidential primary shows Mitt Romney, who will officially announce his campaign on June 2nd, and Sarah Palin, who until this week had showed nothing resembling a campaign, leading the pack of candidates.

The big surprise to some is the 8% that Herman Cain brings in. Some are saying that he should be taken seriously because of the 8% despite having relatively low name recognition. I’m not so sure about that. Cain has better than average name recognition among the grassroots and tea party voters; so while he will likely peak quickly and long before the nominee is decided.

No polls have been conducted in Iowa since April, and Cain wasn’t included; the only poll he was in showed him at 3%, but that was back in March. We’ll see how he does at the Ames Straw Poll in Iowa later this summer. Since Cain seems to be focusing his efforts there, it’ll give us an idea of how he’ll do. We do know that his impact is limited in New Hampshire.

Plurality in three out of four voting groups support Path to Prosperity

While Democrats have tried their best to drum up opposition to Rep. Paul Ryan’s budget plan, the “Path to Prosperity,” the latest Gallup poll shows that they are losing three out of four voting blocs; including older voters:

Yes, there has been some backlash at Republican townhall meetings as a result of Ryan’s plan, but nothing to the extent we saw last year when Democrats were forcing ObamaCare down our throats.

Overall Americans oppose the plan, though it’s within the margin of error. Perhaps the biggest thing we can take from this is that young voters are idiots. They have the most to lose from doing nothing or talking in platitudes, which is essentially President Barack Obama’s plan, about the entitlements that make up anywhere from $50 trillion to $100 trillion in unfunded liabilties (depending on whose estimates you’re reading). The fixes that have been proposed by Democrats and the Obama Administration only put a bandaid on a gunshot wound.

Young voters are either ignorant or they don’t care, and their complacency is dragging the country down.


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