United Liberty

Here are a few predictions for this evening.

• New Jersey: Chris Christie (R) intially opened up a decent lead against incumbent Governor John Corzine (D), however, the emergence of Chris Daggett (I) has had a drag on both traditional party candidates. We expect it to be close, but based on most recent polling, Christie has slight the edge.

 

• NY-23: We’ve covered NY-23 extensively over the last month. It’s hard to trust polling in this race with the exit of one of the candidates so close to election day, however, Republicans seem to be moving towards Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate, despite Dede Scozzafava (R) endorsing Bill Owens (D). Our prediction is Hoffman will win with some room to spare.

 

• Virginia: Bob McDonnell (R) has led Creigh Deeds (D) in all but one poll in the Virginia gubernatorial race since December 2008. Deeds was able to cut into his opponent’s led for short time, but since mid-July McDonnell has pulled away, as each of the last 12 polls shows him winning by double digits. This is the most obvious pick of the night…McDonnell wins Virginia. Republicans are also expected to pick up seats in the Virginia General Assembly.