What can we expect on Super Tuesday?
Tomorrow is shaping up to be a very interesting day in the race for the GOP’s nomination for president. Mitt Romney has momentum on his side heading to Super Tuesday, but some of the states that are heading to the polls aren’t exactly ones that you would think that he’d be running very strong in.
Nevertheless, Romney is running on a high after four straight wins, and Nate Silver explains that, despite the states voting tomorrow, Romney still could come out with a majority of the 422 delegates on the table tomorrow.
Other candidates in the race are just hoping that they can slow Romney down, but they have their on problems to deal with. Rick Santorum is trying to refocus his message after a few weeks of fighting to explain his position on social issues, where no candidates needs to be given the volitility of the economy. Newt Gingrich is just trying to prove that he’s still a viable candidate.
Ron Paul serves his purpose in the race, but it seems that many of his supporters are planning to go underground to try to become delegates at the Republican National Convention and hijack the delegate vote for the nomination.
Here is a look at states heading to the polls on Super Tuesday and what we can expect by the end of the night; some it’s straightforward, others, not so much.
Alaska (27 Delegates): If Ron Paul hopes to have an impact on Super Tuesday, it’ll most likely be in Alaska and Idaho, which both hold a caucus, where his campaign has been focusing.
Georgia (76 Delegates): Given that this is home state, Gingrich should win pretty handily. Romney, however, needs to finish over Santorum and above 20%, according to Frontloading HQ, if he hopes to win any delegates. But if Gingrich somehow loses Georgia, the pressure will be on for him to drop out.
Idaho (32 Delegates): Same deal here as in Alaska.
Massachuetts (41 Delegates): Romney will easily take his home state.
Ohio (66 Delegates): Santorum had been strong in the Buckeye State, but polls in the last few days show Romney coming on quickly. Romney needs to win in Ohio if he wants to put the race to come to a quicker end. But even if Santorum wins here, he may not be able produce enough delegates.
Oklahoma (43 Delegates): Should be an easy double-digit win for Santorum.
Tennessee (58 Delegates): Santorum had been running away with the race in Tennessee, but Romney has narrowed the race to just four points.
Vermont (17 Delegates): Given its proximity to Massachusetts, I’d be surprised if Romney didn’t win in Vermont.
Virginia (49 Delegates): Given that only he and Paul are on the ballot in Virginia thanks to other candidates not turning in enough valid signatures, Romney should win here by a wide margin.
We’ll be live-blogging tomorrow beginning at 6:45pm. Be sure to come back and visit with us as the returns come in.