CNN poll shows Rick Perry rising

The latest national poll for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination from CNN shows five current and possible contenders within 4 points of each other. Given the margin of error is 4.5%, the race is a statistical tie.

The survey also shows Texas Gov. Rick Perry rising past Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann and sneaking up on former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. However, 34% of Republican voters are not satified with the field of candidates. That’s down, though not by much, from 39% at the end of May.

Here is the full rundown of the CNN poll:

  • Mitt Romney: 16%
  • Rick Perry: 14%
  • Rudy Giuliani: 13%
  • Sarah Palin: 13%
  • Michele Bachmann: 12%
  • Ron Paul: 8%
  • Herman Cain: 6%
  • Newt Gingrich: 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 3%
  • Rick Santorum: 2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 1%
  • Other/None: 9%
  • No opinion: 1%

Given the recent exposure that Bachmann has received and the increasing perception that she isn’t cut out for the national stage, Perry may well find himself the conservative movements answer to Romney; after all, he wins 22% of the tea party vote in the poll.

While some conservatives attribute the attacks on Bachmann to Democrats, that is simply untrue. Most of what is coming out about her now is from Republicans scared that she may be able to bring in enough dissatisfied voters to edge out other candidates for the nomination. Expect to see more Republicans point out her shortcomings and overall lack of experience.

It’s worth noting, though nothing should really be read into this, that Sarah Palin and Rick Perry will not be on the ballot for Ames Straw Poll on August 13th. The Hill shows six candidates - Michele Bachmann, Thad McCotter, Ron Paul, Herman Cain, Tim Pawlenty and Rick Santorum - all purchased space at the Iowa State Fair, which guaranteed a spot on the ballot for the straw poll.

This event is important because it helps lend credibility to candidates looking to establish themselves. We’ll have coverage and results of the Ames Straw Poll on Saturday, August 13th.


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