PA Senate: Toomey holds slight lead

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 2:20pm | posted by Jason Pye

While the race between Pat Toomey and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) is going down to the wire. According to Real Clear Politics, Toomey has led in each of the last six polls in the race, though some are in the margin of error. The latest poll from Rasmussen is right in the middle of the surveys, showing Toomey with a four point lead.

Toomey: 50%
Sestak: 46%
Other: 1%
Not sure: 3%

According to the survey, 81% are certain of their vote. Both candidates have favorables above water, Toomey is at 55/40, with Sestak at 51/46. Toomey leads among independents, 50% to 37%.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance. Voters also aren’t high on ObamaCare as 54% favor repeal.

Sestak has been campaigning hard in Philadelphia, which is viewed as a key to victory for him. If he can turnout the suburbs, he has a real shot at winning. A report last week The Hill indicated that the counties to watch are Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery, where independents are going to make the difference. However, it was also noted by a pollster in the article that there hasn’t been much to indicate that Sestak will win.