CNN Poll: GOP up by 9 points with likely voters
According a new poll of likely voters(!) from CNN, Republicans are up big against Democrats as we enter crunch time for the mid-term election:
Fifty-three percent of likely voters said they’d vote for a generic Republican candidate, versus 44 percent who said they would vote for a Democrat, according to a CNN/Opinion Research poll released Friday.
The 9 point advantage for the GOP is the largest advantage they’ve had so far this cycle. A little over a year ago, a poll conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2009, found that Democrats had a 50-44 percent advantage over Republicans.
The poll is the latest in a series of indicators that Republicans might be poised for major election-night gains. The GOP’s within striking distance of winning back the House, though race-by-race polling shows that winning back the Senate could be an uphill climb.
I’m glad to see a poll of likely voters, which gives us a better picture of what to expect in November. Democrats have put out some internal polls recently trying to dispell the picture of a party in disarray, but most analysts are predicting the GOP to pick up anywhere from 35 to 45 seats in the House.