CNN Poll: GOP up by 9 points with likely voters

According a new poll of likely voters(!) from CNN, Republicans are up big against Democrats as we enter crunch time for the mid-term election:

Fifty-three percent of likely voters said they’d vote for a generic Republican candidate, versus 44 percent who said they would vote for a Democrat, according to a CNN/Opinion Research poll released Friday.

The 9 point advantage for the GOP is the largest advantage they’ve had so far this cycle. A little over a year ago, a poll conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2009, found that Democrats had a 50-44 percent advantage over Republicans.

The poll is the latest in a series of indicators that Republicans might be poised for major election-night gains. The GOP’s within striking distance of winning back the House, though race-by-race polling shows that winning back the Senate could be an uphill climb.

I’m glad to see a poll of likely voters, which gives us a better picture of what to expect in November. Democrats have put out some internal polls recently trying to dispell the picture of a party in disarray, but most analysts are predicting the GOP to pick up anywhere from 35 to 45 seats in the House.

I find it interesting that you were very quick to blog about that poll that had Rand Paul ahead by 15, but don’t seem to interested in the latest poll, which has him ahead by 2. A little selective reporting?

Anonymous's picture

Going to post about it tomorrow. Don’t jump to conclusions.

jpye's picture
 

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