DNC chair not confident Dems will take back the House

During a post-State of the Union discussion with Politico, DNC Chair Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) expressed doubt that Democrats will be able to take back the House of Representatives in the 2014 mid-term election:

Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz and House Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy on Wednesday sparred over Congress and midterm elections, with the DNC chairwoman saying she can’t “confidently predict” that Democrats will take back the House in 2014 but that they will gain seats.

“I’m not going to confidently predict that Democrats will take the House back,” Wasserman Schultz said when asked about the upcoming midterm elections during POLITICO’s post-State of the Union event.  “But we will pick up seats.”

“Where?” McCarthy interjected.

“Down boy,” the DNC chair quipped.

To this point, Democratic leaders have been insistent that the House is in play, pointing out that they only need to gain 17 seats to take the majority. They even tried spin the disastrous rollout of Obamacare, which caused their numbers to tank. Wasserman Schultz, for example, boldly declared on multiple occasions that Democrats would run and win on Obamacare.

In reality, Democrats don’t have much, if any, chance of taking the House, though they could pick-up a few seats. But even that may be a stretch. Why? Because there just aren’t that many Republican seats in play.

Given retirements and the likelihood of seats to change hands, Roll Call notes that “Republicans are well-positioned to retain their House majority, holding 211 seats currently rated safe and favored to win 11 more.” The Washington-based political news outlet points out that Democrats “would need to win every seat where they have even a slight edge, plus about 20 more.”

Barring some sort of spectacular meltdown by Republicans, they’ll keep their majority and, quite possibly, even add a few seats.

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