Harvard poll: 52% of youngest Millennials would vote to recall Obama

Despite voting heavily for him in 2008 and 2012, Millennials — voters between the ages of 18 and 29 — have increasingly become disenfranchised with President Obama. This began early in the summer with the coverage of the NSA’s domestic surveillance and has worsened thanks to the disastrous Obamacare rollout.

But slide, it seems, is much worse than most standard surveys have shown. Ron Fournier of the National Journal broke down the results of a recent Harvard University poll which found that not only do Millennials disapprove of President Obama, but 52% would vote to recall him (emphasis added):

Obama’s approval rating among young Americans is just 41 percent, down 11 points from a year ago, and now tracking with all adults. While 55 percent said they voted for Obama in 2012, only 46 percent said they would do so again.

When asked if they could choose to recall various elected officials, 45 percent of all Millennials said they would oust their member of Congress, 52 percent replied “all members of Congress,” and 47 percent said they would recall Obama. The recall-Obama figure was even higher among the youngest Millennials, ages 18-24, at 52 percent.

While there is no provision for a public recall of U.S. presidents, the poll question revealed just how far Obama has fallen in the eyes of young Americans.

Uhhhh. President Obama, call your office because…wow.

In the last two presidential elections, the Obama campaign heavily courted Millennials on promises of “hope” and “change.” Unfortunately, the fell for it, after eight years of George W. Bush and the prospect of Mitt Romney, who was ineffective in his feeble, tepid attempts to court young Americans.

But what these voters got with President Obama was another Bush, arguably on steroids when it comes to domestic surveillance and foreign policy. What’s more, they seem to realize that Obamacare is a bad deal for them, which has huge implications for the workability of the law (again, emphasis added):

According to the poll, 57 percent of Millennials disapprove of Obamacare, with 40 percent saying it will worsen their quality of care and a majority believing it will drive up costs. Only 18 percent say Obamacare will improve their care. Among 18-to-29 year olds currently without health insurance, less than one-third say they’re likely to enroll in the Obamacare exchanges.

More than two-thirds of Millennials said they heard about the ACA through the media. That’s a bad omen for Obamacare, given the intensive coverage of the law’s botched rollout. Just one of every four young Americans said they discussed the law with a friend or through social media.

Remember, the administration and insurers are relying heavily on young people to enroll in health plans available on the state and federal exchanges to offset the costs of sick and older people who sign-up. Of the administration’s 7 million enrollments estimate, 2.7 million (roughly 38% of all enrollments) were expected to be people between the ages of 18 and 35.

But they’re not enrolling in the anticipated numbers through state-based exchanges, which is a very serious concern. If Millennials don’t enroll and the risk pool is disproportionate with sick and elderly people, insurers will be forced to raise insurance premiums. Some may even pull out of the exchanges, leaving fewer choices for consumers, which is already a problem in some states.

The full poll is worth a read. While it’s devastating for President Obama, the poll doesn’t mean that Millennials will be a slam dunk for Republicans come election time. There is clearly a lot of work to be done to reach out to these voters. But Republicans have to, at some point, take that step.


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