Electoral Vote: Colorado drifts back to Obama, Romney closing gap in Ohio

With eight days to go until election day, both campaigns are hitting swing states hard to get every last vote. Polls in Colorado are showing a tilt back toward President Obama, but Romney is gaining ground in Iowa, Ohio, and Wisconsin.

In this look at the Electoral College, you can see that President Obama has increased his lead over Romney to 290-248. Last week, Romney trailed 281-257, with the change, as noted above, coming from Colorado:

Electoral Vote for October 29th

While Romney is showing gain in some swing states, his campaign has been put in precarious position because, with the current Electoral College outlook, even if they pickup just Ohio, they’re still short of the 270 needed to win. Now, if they pickup Ohio plus any one of the other swing state, he wins.

There is still a path to victory without Ohio. Romney could win Colorado, Iowa, and Wisconsin and win, 273-265. But as has been explained before, no Republican has ever won the election without taking Ohio.

Here is a look at polls from five swing states. Included off to the side, you’ll find the party split from the 2008 exit polls, which will give you an idea of how each pollster is measuring the state. All polls are provided via Real Clear Politics.

Colorado (2008 D/R/I: 30/31/39)

Firm Dates
Obama Romney Other Not sure D/R/I Split
Purple Strategies
10/23-25 47% 46% 1% 7% 35/31/32
NBC/WSJ/Marist 10/23-24 48% 48% 2% 2% 34/33/32
PPP 10/23-25 51% 47% 2% 2% 37/36/26
Rasmussen 10/21 46% 50% 3% 2% 36/40/23
We Ask America 10/15 47% 48% 1% 4% 34/35/31

Iowa (2008 D/R/I: 34/33/33)

Firm Dates
Obama Romney Other Not sure D/R/I Split
Gravis 10/24 50% 46% n/a 4% 41/35/24
Rasmussen 10/21 48% 48% 1% 3% 34/38/28
PPP 10/17-19 48% 49% n/a 4% 34/38/27
NBC/WSJ/Marist 10/15-17 51% 43% 2% 4% 33/31/35
We Ask America 10/15 49% 46% 1% 4% 36/33/31

Ohio (2008 D/R/I: 39/31/30)

Firm Dates
Obama Romney Other Not sure D/R/I Split
Gravis
10/27 50% 49% n/a 2% 40/32/28
PPP 10/26-28 51% 47% n/a 2% 43/35/21
Cincinnati Enquirer 10/18-23 49% 49% 1% 1% 47/44/10
Purple Strategies 10/23-25 46% 44% 1% 8% 35/31/32
CNN 10/23-25 50% 46% 1% 4% 35/32/33

Wisconsin (2008 D/R/I: 39/33/29)

Firm Dates
Obama Romney Other Not sure D/R/I Split
Rasmussen 10/25 49% 49% 1% 2% 33/36/31
Rasmussen 10/18 50% 48% 1% 0% 35/38/26
Mason-Dixon 10/15-17 48% 46% n/a n/a n/a
NBC/WSJ/Marist 10/15-17 51% 45% 1% 3% 33/25/38
Marquette 10/11-14 49% 48% 3% 2% 31/28/38

Virginia (2008 D/R/I: 39/33/27)

Firm Dates
Obama Romney Other Not sure D/R/I Split
Gravis
10/26 48% 48% 4% 41/33/26
Washington Post 10/22-26 47% 51% 1% 2% 31/27/35
Rasmussen 10/24 48% 50% 0% 1% 37/39/24
Purple Strategies 10/23-25 47% 47% 0% 7% 35/31/32
Fox News 10/23-24 47% 45% 2% 7% 39/34/23


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